Posted 04 August 2006 - 06:01 AM
What do we put him on.
Spade draw? Straight draw?
If we do, we HAVE to raise here...it would be a mistake not to...we're giving him a free draw AND likely won't get any money if he misses it. Would Hero rather him pay a bad price to chase a draw, or HOPE that he bluffs when he misses it?
If we're behind, we're probably not getting away from the hand anyway, so there's no difference in pushing here or calling a push on the river.
The fact is, if we think we are behind calling is a terrible mistake - we don't have the implied odds to cover the 3-outer.
If we're way ahead, eg. 88/JQ, or he's drawing dead (Tx, no 2orJ), is the only time it MIGHT be a mistake in raising...and it's likely that if he will fold a push on the turn that he'll fold to any bet on the river, and in many cases he'll call a push on either the turn or the river.
"Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand."