Jump to content


Does Anyone Else Make This Move With A Straightflush Draw?


  • Please log in to reply
23 replies to this topic

#1 hoeferm

hoeferm

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 9 posts

Posted 12 June 2006 - 03:52 PM

OK, I was playing a fairly loose 2-4NL cash game last night with a buyin from 100-200$. I have been at the table for twenty minutes, I have 194$, and no real reads on anyone.
Action:
1. I am in midposition and two people limp in front of me (4$ each) and I call with 8c9c
2. Player behind me raises to 16$ (has about 400$)
3. The two limpers call (each with a little over 200$) and I call 16$ bet: pot is now 64$
4. Flop comes Qh6c7c and I flop the top half of a straightflush draw
5. Everybody checks to the raiser in last position and he bets 40$, 1st limper folds, and second limper raises to 80$, there is now 184$ in the pot and I have 178$ in front of me, what do I do?

#2 nomad_monad

nomad_monad

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 749 posts

Posted 12 June 2006 - 03:54 PM

push. pretty standard.

#3 gooch

gooch

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 1,247 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Whistler
  • Interests:Things that end in "ing".
  • Favorite Poker Game:NL Hold'em, PLO

Posted 12 June 2006 - 04:03 PM

yep, I can't get away from that, providing the flush is good if you hit it you are pretty close to even on this
shameless plug for traffic, it's a poker blog Judy, not a fishing site
http://areallybigfish.com/

#4 LongLiveYorke

LongLiveYorke

    Ending the world one proton at a time

  • Members
  • 8,221 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Manhattan
  • Interests:fizziks, teh maths, Raid-o-head, Rod Reynolds

Posted 12 June 2006 - 04:12 PM

So did you check the flop? If so, why?

I wonder what Smash would do with this flop...

#5 XXEddie

XXEddie

    I have a pair, I have a top pair.

  • Members
  • 13,401 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Centennial, CO

Posted 12 June 2006 - 08:00 PM

....why did you check

#6 hoeferm

hoeferm

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 9 posts

Posted 12 June 2006 - 11:39 PM

I actually messed up the order and was last to act in this hand. So once the action was to me I pushed all in hoping to get them both to fold (pretty unlikely due to size of pot and I only had 100$ over original reraiser) or both to call so I could crazy good odds on my draw. Alas, only one player called and took down the pot with Q10o when my draw didn't come. I know mathematically I was getting pretty good odds (186$ to win 286$ with 1 caller and 426$ with two callers) and ended up as a 52% favorite against the Q10o. Against more likely callers (i.e. not morons with Q10o) like an overpair I am 56% to win, two pair 48-53%, and against a set I am only 42%. But I can't help but think in this situation I am basically a coin flip at best to win the pot and I have to risk my entire stack. I guess I just feel like I can often get my money as a much bigger favorite (i.e. set to overpair, two pair to overpair, tp with better kicker, etc....). It's weird that EVERYONE so far has said they would push in this situation as everyone at my table looked at me like I was complete moron and one old guy even commented that he would never the play the hand that way. Any additional thoughts? Does everybody really push here?

#7 iggymcfly

iggymcfly

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 2,654 posts
  • Location:Missoula, MT
  • Interests:Poker, football, sitting on my ass

Posted 13 June 2006 - 02:17 AM

Yeah, obvious push. If you're nitty enough to do anything else, you should quit poker. Well, that's not quite true. I guess I could se smooth-calling to get the other player to call so yoiu get paid off better when you hit, but it's not like you're going to be folding it on any street.
Lady luck's my fuck-buddy.

#8 Naismith

Naismith

    Perry Friedman: I was planning on reloaded through Naismith

  • Members
  • 4,556 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:BWTBH
  • Favorite Poker Game:No Limit Crazy Pineapple

Posted 13 June 2006 - 02:46 AM

QUOTE (hoeferm @ Monday, June 12th, 2006, 11:39 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Against more likely callers (i.e. not morons with Q10o) like an overpair I am 56% to win, two pair 48-53%, and against a set I am only 42%. But I can't help but think in this situation I am basically a coin flip at best to win the pot and I have to risk my entire stack. I guess I just feel like I can often get my money as a much bigger favorite (i.e. set to overpair, two pair to overpair, tp with better kicker, etc....).


It's funny, I called an all in with that exact same hand on the exact same board. In my mind, I said, "This guy is going to push a flush draw" and then he pushed and my mind started to convince me that he didn't have a flush draw. Finally, I went with my original read and he blanked out. I guess the point I'm getting at is...trust your read. Maybe this guy did in this situation. smile.gif

Poker is a math game. If you can get the pot to lay you good odds every single time you're all in as a slight favorite and you can practice good bankroll management, you might as well start house shopping for that nice oversized waterfront home you've always wanted. Let me bet 186 to win 286 as a slight favorite every hand and see how many times I (or anyone else on this site) don't push! I guarantee you can count the number of times I'm not all in on no fingers.
Peace,
Jay



#9 Scott3705

Scott3705

    Pay-Off Wizard

  • Members
  • 3,761 posts

Posted 13 June 2006 - 05:32 AM

QUOTE (iggymcfly @ Tuesday, June 13th, 2006, 2:17 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Yeah, obvious push. If you're nitty enough to do anything else, you should quit poker. Well, that's not quite true. I guess I could se smooth-calling to get the other player to call so yoiu get paid off better when you hit, but it's not like you're going to be folding it on any street.


Yeah, considering stack sizes, pushing is fine, but I actually think smooth calling is better. If you call, I could see the original raiser calling since he was only min raised on this board. At that point almost everyone (maybe not the raiser) is stuck to the hand no matter what falls which is a good thing for you. If he doesn't call. eh... You'll be gettin 4.5:1 to call all in on the turn if you blank which gives you enough odds to call for a river card.

Pushing hard on the flop with this type of hands makes sense when we have FE. With your stack (granting no FE), it's just better to call since we will never be priced out of our draw.

#10 fckthis

fckthis

    mmmmmmm Alba

  • Members
  • 2,038 posts
  • Location:Canada
  • Interests:Long walks on gravel,<br />watching my 67year old neighbour undress,<br /><br />poker

Posted 13 June 2006 - 06:16 AM

easy push.
Mike Matusow: want to play some o 8
Mike Matusow: 5001k
Ram Vaswani: you to good at 500 1k but i play you 1k 2k

#11 MasterLJ

MasterLJ

    Bus Fare Gambler

  • Members
  • 2,576 posts

Posted 13 June 2006 - 08:30 AM

If you can get 2 callers to your all-in, this is extremely +EV especially because they will be sharing outs to hands that beat your draw.

Min-raising generally means strength. That guy isn't going anywhere. Figure out an amount that will get the initial bettor to call, just so that the raisor can push. It might leave you with $30 in chips and feel a little strange, but perhaps min-raising here is the answer.

I don't advocate min-raising much, but you don't want the original bettor to think "doooohhhh, I have to call an all-in." You want him to think, "bah, I'm committed, fug it, I'm all-in/I call," so that the raisor can easily move in for the rest of his chips.
Me Blog (Updated: **12/22/2006**)


#12 NoSup4U

NoSup4U

    Making Poppinfresh look like a nit

  • Members
  • 10,674 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Phoenix, AZ
  • Favorite Poker Game:Shorthanded NLHE

Posted 13 June 2006 - 10:09 AM

I don't think in this case the min raise has to mean huge strength. Everyone checked the flop around to the original raiser. He bets. He could have AK here, he could have JJ here, who knows. Any aggresive player is going to raise him here with a wide variety of hands.

For that reason, I advocate pushing here, because I do think you have some fold equity with the min raiser. Maybe he has a huge hand and calls, but more often than not he has a decent hand and just thinks the original raiser is continuation betting.

If we didn't have any fold equity here, I'd advocate a smooth call to bring the original better along. If you did smooth call, the only way you could possibly fold was is one of the players moved all in for your whole remaining stack on the turn and you didn't expect the other player to call. Thats another reason why I like a push more. By just calling on the flop, the other dudes can be fairly sure you're drawing and will price you out on the turn if they're smart.

Mark

Edit: Just reviewed stack sizes. With your short stack, you can't really fold the turn regardless. You're priced in if you just call on the flop.

#13 profxavier9

profxavier9

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 2,084 posts
  • Location:Toronto
  • Interests:money
  • Favorite Poker Game:Acey Duecy

Posted 16 June 2006 - 04:52 PM

my mom knows to push there.
..ok so what do i do now?..

stars nameMrPristine
full tilt - profxavier9

#14 Scott3705

Scott3705

    Pay-Off Wizard

  • Members
  • 3,761 posts

Posted 16 June 2006 - 06:09 PM

QUOTE (profxavier9 @ Friday, June 16th, 2006, 4:52 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
my mom knows to push there.

Y?

#15 BeaverStyle

BeaverStyle

    Come get some.

  • Members
  • 7,023 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Grand Rapids, MI
  • Interests:uh..... poker?
  • Favorite Poker Game:NL Texas Hold-em

Posted 19 June 2006 - 09:23 PM

QUOTE (profxavier9 @ Friday, June 16th, 2006, 4:52 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
my mom knows to push there.


oh yes she knows how to push in many positions.
I may not be a meteorologist, but it sure looks like it's rainin' bitches!

#16 Craziness

Craziness

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 8 posts

Posted 20 June 2006 - 01:45 PM

QUOTE (BeaverStyle @ Monday, June 19th, 2006, 9:23 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
oh yes she knows how to push in many positions.

Why push?

You pushing may make the initial raiser fold.

You're obviously not getting the min raiser to fold by pushing (you are only raising $100).

So why push?

See if you can get the initial raiser to call $40 more by smooth calling.

Pushing here will only hurt you.

#17 krup24

krup24

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 5,561 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Pittsburgh, PA

Posted 20 June 2006 - 01:52 PM

QUOTE (Craziness @ Tuesday, June 20th, 2006, 1:45 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Why push?

You pushing may make the initial raiser fold.

You're obviously not getting the min raiser to fold by pushing (you are only raising $100).

So why push?

See if you can get the initial raiser to call $40 more by smooth calling.

Pushing here will only hurt you.



Um...........

NO
Give me a paper and pen so I can write about my life of sin. A couple bottles of gin in case I don't get in.
-2Pac

#18 David_Nicoson

David_Nicoson

    Official Forum Me

  • Members
  • 4,418 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Indianapolis
  • Interests:Poker<br />Poker<br />Sex<br />Sleep<br />baseball<br />softball<br />Poker<br />Poker<br />Poker<br />Axis and Allies and other lesser board games<br />Chess<br />Poker<br />Poker<br />Poker
  • Favorite Poker Game:pot-limit Euchre

Posted 20 June 2006 - 06:05 PM

QUOTE (hoeferm @ Monday, June 12th, 2006, 7:52 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
OK, I was playing a fairly loose 2-4NL cash game last night with a buyin from 100-200$. I have been at the table for twenty minutes, I have 194$, and no real reads on anyone.
Action:
1. I am in midposition and two people limp in front of me (4$ each) and I call with 8c9c
2. Player behind me raises to 16$ (has about 400$)
3. The two limpers call (each with a little over 200$) and I call 16$ bet: pot is now 64$
4. Flop comes Qh6c7c and I flop the top half of a straightflush draw
5. Everybody checks to the raiser in last position and he bets 40$, 1st limper folds, and second limper raises to 80$, there is now 184$ in the pot and I have 178$ in front of me, what do I do?

Are you playing with these people regularly?

Supposing for a moment that we flat call here, what hands do we push with? Two-pair or better?

As the PFR, my job is pretty easy if I can fold my overpair correctly every time the hero raises.
QUOTE(bleacherbum3 @ Friday, February 29th, 2008, 3:28 AM) View Post
I'm invincible. Like Super Mario when he gets that star thingy.


#19 macphec

macphec

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 747 posts
  • Location:Nova Scotia, Canada

Posted 21 June 2006 - 06:36 AM

QUOTE (Craziness @ Tuesday, June 20th, 2006, 1:45 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Why push?

You pushing may make the initial raiser fold.

You're obviously not getting the min raiser to fold by pushing (you are only raising $100).

So why push?

See if you can get the initial raiser to call $40 more by smooth calling.

Pushing here will only hurt you.


Wow

Then what do you do on a blank turn?

Easiest push ever
FACT:

More people are killed every year by donkeys than plane crashes.

#20 kdogg

kdogg

    Poker Forum Nut

  • Members
  • 267 posts

Posted 22 June 2006 - 11:17 AM

QUOTE (Craziness @ Tuesday, June 20th, 2006, 1:45 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Why push?

You pushing may make the initial raiser fold.

You're obviously not getting the min raiser to fold by pushing (you are only raising $100).

So why push?

See if you can get the initial raiser to call $40 more by smooth calling.

Pushing here will only hurt you.


1) It would be ideal for you to take down the pot right here. There's a chance both opponents will fold.
2) It is essential that you see both the turn and river. You're guaranteed to see both cards if you push. Let's say you smooth call, and one of your opponents pushes when Qc falls on the turn. You may have to fold.
3) You want the original bettor to fold a better draw than you (e.g. JcTc).




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users