amarillotg 0 Posted April 24, 2006 Share Posted April 24, 2006 Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: Hero is SB with 3, J. 1 fold, UTG+1 calls, 3 folds, MP3 calls, 2 folds, Hero completes, BB checks.Flop: (4 SB) K, J, T(4 players)Hero bets, BB raises, UTG+1 3-bets, MP3 folds, Hero caps...Any goot? Link to post Share on other sites
The Nuts 0 Posted April 24, 2006 Share Posted April 24, 2006 I don't like the cap. Should call the 3-bet and pray that you hit your flush because that's probably your only ticket to winning this pot. Link to post Share on other sites
Actuary 3 Posted April 24, 2006 Share Posted April 24, 2006 yeah, I'm not fond of the cap.we'd like BB to be there for the flush.given the board texture/betting our hand is trailing and often two pair is no goodplus, we can c/r better by just calling the 3 bet.I think this hand should get more discussion though, as it's close.Ok a board of KJ2 I like the cap. Link to post Share on other sites
amarillotg 0 Posted April 24, 2006 Author Share Posted April 24, 2006 when i capped it i immediately thought it was a mistake. i thought about it for a while though and started thinking it might be pretty close.lets assume one villain flopped a straight (Q9 as there was no raise pre-flop) and put the other on some possible hands that would raise or 3-bet this flop - KJ, KT, JT, KQ, TTrunning it through poker stove i got the following:against a str8 and KJ our equity is 35.6%against a str8 and KT our equity is 35.8%against a str8 and JT our equity is 36.0%against a str8 and KQ our equity is 39.5%against a srt8 and TT our equity is 31.3%all these stats are based on no one holding one of our spade outs. i believe if someone is holding one of our spades those percentages drop about 2%.so i think its probably close but i agree with Actuary that this board is probably a little too co-ordinated to push this hard.btw, im real lame at math so there is a good chance that this is all wrong. Link to post Share on other sites
Wingmaster05 0 Posted April 25, 2006 Share Posted April 25, 2006 I don't like it either...unraised pot and its two back to you. call and hope the flush comes.are we c/calling down if a 3 hits? fold if two back to us on the river. Link to post Share on other sites
amarillotg 0 Posted April 25, 2006 Author Share Posted April 25, 2006 are we c/calling down if a 3 hits? fold if two back to us on the river.i think so. Link to post Share on other sites
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