I tell you why I voted 78 (likely suited):
- First off from UTG, a raise with 75s/o is pretty nutty. I mean DN can play goofy and he 'projects' a wide hand range, but 75 UTG raise would be expensive way to advertise right?!? You have to flop pretty darn well to play 75 from UTG, or you have to have alot of good PF reads and your table image has to be significantly more intimidating (to bluff) than if you had 78s. DN still wouldn't deviate too far, too often from fundamentals no? While it is possible, it's less likely. - Other stuff about preflop The BB preflop reraise really narrows BB hand range (assuming not too tricky). What could he reraise an UTG raiser with? Most likely something like AK, AQ or PP, (my guess). DN reads not AA or KK so that further narrows the range. - Flop Given the flop texture Qc 6c 4h and BB's bet on the flop, BB is pretty much saying he has a pair (though it could be a set). Assuming BB is not too tricky, the pair means he can't have flush draw definitely no st draw. I guess that was one thing DN was thinking, he has a well defined situation.Now I would think vs a tightish player I now have alot of scare outs to a high probability bluff, straight / flush scare outs (how many??) . Those cards might just scare the crap out of the dude, (afterall it all 'fits' DN's hand range -haha). BB just wouldn't be able to call an all-in with a pair if a scare card came. If DN read him for just a pair (and that BB can fold), BB could even be afraid of a low 'two pair' or 'set'. I'm sure if BB is tightish / solid, he could think of lots of excuses to fold.Anyhow, I think Kiddo just calls the bet to see what Berk'e'ley (spell it right!) does. Unfortunately Berkeley calls, so DN probably has Berkeley on a flush draw, or a Q, not AA, KK (and I guess not a set!), however DN still has scare outs if no flush card comes. Turn card comes 8h, and it gives DN a pair and a gut draw, two pair draw / set draw, (no flush on board), but most importantly it gives him a great bluff opportunity. On the face of things it seems he has no pot odds to put his stack in there vs a pair (he needs like 4-1 against if a pair calls), but really his bluff equity is tremendous(!) vs a pair. Also he has a chance to improve to a hand that can win vs a pair. I.e. the gutter straight, two pair or set. Now if I put Berkeley on a flush draw he wouldn't have pot-odds to call either.- I thought the Berk'e'ley dude could have raised on the flop or called on the turn. I never read the original Super System before, but from what I hear about how it says to play suited connectors, this would be an interesting example hand!Interesting hand, I love it!