hotbacon 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 I didn't have reads on villain at this point, so assume unknown.I'm SB with 992/4 Stars 6maxCO opens, I 3-bet, he callsFlop: AA8rI bet, he callsTurn: (4.5 BB) 8I???? Link to post Share on other sites
allinbluff35 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 i check raise here because i'm an awesome donk, i have no reasoning for it, i just think it would be neat to do. Link to post Share on other sites
econ_tim 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 bet/fold is looking good Link to post Share on other sites
hotbacon 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Author Share Posted February 16, 2006 bet/fold is looking goodThat's what I did. It seemed so blah to me though.Are you doing this because you think KJ or whatever might hvae peeled the flop?How likely do you think it is that villain will bluff if checked to? Link to post Share on other sites
econ_tim 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 How likely do you think it is that villain will bluff if checked to?not very likely, but any two broadway cards have six outs. Link to post Share on other sites
pokerplayer24 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 Bet/fold it. Against a real aggro player who might try to bluff this i'd consider check/calling down. But thats only with someone who has an AF >3.Also thought I saw you at 2/4 6 max yesterday even though I never sat at your table. Link to post Share on other sites
screech 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 i check raise here because i'm an awesome donk, i have no reasoning for it, i just think it would be neat to do.To get him to lay down TT. I like it. TT is not folding if you bet. If he calls your raise you're done. Link to post Share on other sites
DrZebra 0 Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 so you're saying c/r/f?? haha, way too specific.definitely a b/f. Link to post Share on other sites
allinbluff35 0 Posted February 17, 2006 Share Posted February 17, 2006 i check raise here because i'm an awesome donk, i have no reasoning for it, i just think it would be neat to do.To get him to lay down TT. I like it. TT is not folding if you bet. If he calls your raise you're done.desperation Matusow bluff the river dude, only donkeys can pull it off, I do it all the time. I'm just that awesome to do it on multiple streets in big pots. sw Link to post Share on other sites
screech 0 Posted February 17, 2006 Share Posted February 17, 2006 so you're saying c/r/f?? haha, way too specific.definitely a b/f.I c/r an ace here like 75% of the time.I b/f an underpair like 100% of the time.I want him to htink I have an ace.I'm a predictable ****, and so are most TAG's. If villian is smart, he know's raising with the turn with any 2 here is profitable. Also, his hand range is pretty narrow. I think it's KK-99 and Ax. A c/f is much better than a b/f here since we have zero fold equity with a bet.But yeah, you're right, check/rais ng in this hand is a bit much vs an unknown. It is creative, but it's pretty bad considering villian has an ace about 70% of the time here. Our c/r has to work about 30% of the time, so we would have to fold a higher pp 100% of the time to break even. That's not going to happen.Of course a bet/fold is pretty bad too. We get raised a ton here. Even if villian doesn't have an ace or a high pp, if he calls the flop, it's usually with the intention to raise the turn with air, so he might as well have an ace. Luckily, this doesn't happen too often. And as I mentioned earlier, if we bet the turn, we have zero fold equity. So we are just throwing away money. Even more if we get stubborn and bet again on the river. In that case, we ahve lost just as much as a turn c/r, without the added FE. Either way, betting the turn is a bad play too.So as weak as it sounds, this seems like a pretty easy turn check/fold. Link to post Share on other sites
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