need math addvice.
Started by Dirtydutch, Feb 23 2005 10:50 PM
10 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 23 February 2005 - 10:50 PM
This is not a bad beat story… friend and I were discussing this hand and he thinks I was only 65% to win, I think I was about 78% to win… any comments? The match up is AA (I had the AA.) against Q10 against Q10, if you don’t want to read the whole thing. "1" is at seat 2 with $68.00. "2" is at seat 4 with $31.00. "3" is at seat 5 with $75.00. "Me" is at seat 7 with $153.00. "4" is at seat 9 with $125.00. The button is at seat 9. "1" posts the small blind of $1.00."2" posts the big blind of $2.00. "1": -- -- "2": -- -- "3": -- -- "Me": As Ac "4": -- --Pre-flop: "3" raises to $5.00. "Me" re-raises to $18.00. "4" folds. "1"folds. "2" calls. "3" goes all-in for $75.00. "Me" goes all-in for $153.00 "2" goes all-in for $31.00. " Me" is returned $78.00 (uncalled). Flop (board: 5d Qs 6s): (no action in this round) Turn (board: 5d Qs 6s Th): (no action in this round) River (board: 5d Qs 6s Th 4c): (no action in this round) Showdown: "Me" shows As Ac."Me" has As Ac Qs 6s Th: a pair of aces."2" shows Ts Qc."2" has Ts Qc Qs 6s Th: two pair, queens and tens."3" shows Qd Td."3" has Qd Td Qs 6s Th: two pair, queens and tens. "2" wins the main pot $47.00 of a $94.00 pot with two pair, queens and tens. "3" wins the main pot $47.00 of a $94.00 pot with two pair, queens and tens. "3" wins the side pot $88.00 with two pair, queens and tens.----------------------------------------------------------------the
#2
Posted 23 February 2005 - 11:09 PM
before the flop you are well over 70 percent i believe...over 80 percent even ... www.cardplayer.com has a holdem and omaha odds calculator, you should use that for any odds questions
#3
Posted 23 February 2005 - 11:16 PM
thanks... that thing is cool... that will shut him up!Dutch.
#4
Posted 23 February 2005 - 11:17 PM
depending on the suited you were prolly a 80-84% favorite before the flop.




#5
Posted 23 February 2005 - 11:31 PM
yeah uh... you were at 80% against just the Q10 of diamonds the fact that two of those outs were taken by the guy puts you even farther ahead.... oh and just as a rule of thumb.... an overpair versus two undercards is 80%-vs-20% preflop everytime.
#6
Posted 24 February 2005 - 11:18 AM
Card Player.com has a poker odds calculator. Punch it in. Also "advice" is spelled so.
#7
Posted 24 February 2005 - 11:20 AM
JistTheFist said:
oh and just as a rule of thumb.... an overpair versus two undercards is 80%-vs-20% preflop everytime.
#8
Posted 24 February 2005 - 03:27 PM
no dude I think you're actually the one who's misaken... no offense but 53-47 sound more like a pair versus two overcards.... like 66 vs AK the 66 would be the favorite but it would only be like 53%-vs-47% in favor...what I was talking about was an OVERpair versus two UNDERcards.... like KK versus 89suited or KK versus 56 or KK versus 10-2 or whatever... in all of these cases KK is ABOUT 80%-vs-20% in favor preflop.
#9
Posted 24 February 2005 - 03:37 PM
JistTheFist said:
no dude I think you're actually the one who's misaken... no offense but 53-47 sound more like a pair versus two overcards.... like 66 vs AK the 66 would be the favorite but it would only be like 53%-vs-47% in favor...what I was talking about was an OVERpair versus two UNDERcards.... like KK versus 89suited or KK versus 56 or KK versus 10-2 or whatever... in all of these cases KK is ABOUT 80%-vs-20% in favor preflop.
#10
Posted 24 February 2005 - 03:45 PM
whoops im a d0uche
#11
Posted 24 February 2005 - 03:49 PM
jayistheman said:
JistTheFist said:
no dude I think you're actually the one who's misaken... no offense but 53-47 sound more like a pair versus two overcards.... like 66 vs AK the 66 would be the favorite but it would only be like 53%-vs-47% in favor...what I was talking about was an OVERpair versus two UNDERcards.... like KK versus 89suited or KK versus 56 or KK versus 10-2 or whatever... in all of these cases KK is ABOUT 80%-vs-20% in favor preflop.
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