2 replies to this topic

[PrtyPSux]

I posted this in the tourney thread, but I havent posted here in a while so I thought Id repost here.460 left 405 get paid, I got moved to this table maybe 5 or 10 minutes before and I didnt have a real read on anyone.... 3 of my 5 played hands at that table consisted of me raising getting reraised all in an folding. the other 2 were blind vs blind hands where I pushed in on the flop and got no showdown.I have KxKd in MP and I raise it to 600 (b's 100/200 w/ 25 ante, I had about 8k in chips 2nd @ my table), some chick in the sb thinks a bit and calls (7k ish stack). flop goes HU and is 6x7d8d she checks I bet 1k into like a 1500 ish pot...she immediately pushes. before I bet I put her on like 22-99 or AQ-AJ... when she pushed immediately eliminated 22-44 and all overs that didnt contain two diamonds. so I gess my range was AdQd-AdJd (possibly Ad10d) 55-99.. wwyd?

[copernicus]

If thats your range (and I think its pretty realistic) then odds-wise this is a fold. You are a 56:44 dog and you are only getting about 1.2:1 odds. If shes a LAG player I might not want to discount the made straight though.However, since it is so close odds wise you have to consider the tournament situation. You have a chance to nearly double up, which sounds like it would put you among the chip leaders. While this looks like a bubble situation the prizes in the 400s have to be pretty insignificant.Very close decision. I think I would probably call but might sit there with the mouse between call and fold for my time bank.

[PrtyPSux]

copernicus said:

If thats your range (and I think its pretty realistic) then odds-wise this is a fold. You are a 56:44 dog and you are only getting about 1.2:1 odds. If shes a LAG player I might not want to discount the made straight though.However, since it is so close odds wise you have to consider the tournament situation. You have a chance to nearly double up, which sounds like it would put you among the chip leaders. While this looks like a bubble situation the prizes in the 400s have to be pretty insignificant.Very close decision. I think I would probably call but might sit there with the mouse between call and fold for my time bank.

I practically insta called,,,, not cuz i didnt fear a set.. but because I thought it was VERY likely she was semi bluffing with some sort of a drawing. when I bet she actually took like 3 or 4 seconds to push (i said immediately) during those five seconds I was kinda wanted a push because I know they'd bluff here plenty of time (not to mention the occasional PF call w/ QQ-10 10 OOP that wants to wait and see if no A or K falls on the flop.)....Also, the fact that I had been laying down to aggression factored into my call. And if I win I woulda had a stack big enough to bully the hell out of my table during the bubble.