Jump to content

huge pot..awful river


Recommended Posts

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cxPreflop: Hero is MP2 with [Ts], [Td]. 2 folds, MP1 calls, Hero calls.Flop: (10 SB) [7c], [Ks], [Kc] (3 players)SB bets, MP1 calls, Hero calls.Turn: (6.50 BB) [Tc] (3 players)SB bets, MP1 calls, Hero calls.River: (18.50 BB) [Ah] (3 players)SB bets, MP1 calls, Hero calls.Final Pot: 21.50 BBactuary was watchin this...what do i do on this riversb: 51/1/1mp1: 61/7/.88

Link to post
Share on other sites

Why are we calling this flop? I'd just fold there. Do you really think the implied odds justify drawing at two outs here? (Maybe they do.... here the pot wound up big enough here to justify it, except that A on the river probably killed you - although I wouldn't be shocked if villain already had quad kings).You'll probably win the hand about 9/10 times that you catch on the turn, and you're ~22-1 to catch, and the pot's laying 12-1. So you'd have to expect your opponents to put in more than 6 BB's on the turn and river in order to show a profit. I think that might be right around what you can expect on average with two players in.So I think maybe the flop call is probably close to break-even here, although I lean toward folding, since I think there's a good chance MP has nothing and will fold the turn, in which case I doubt you're getting 6 bets out of SB. Had MP folded, I think you have an easy fold on the flop.

Link to post
Share on other sites
Why are we calling this flop?
Well, we're probably behind. Villian could have AQ/99 here, so it's too early to give up just yet. With these hands, he may well check the turn, so while it doesn't seem like we're getting quite the odds we need to hit a 2-outter, the chance that he checks the turn with hands we beat makes this a call. It's close though.
Link to post
Share on other sites
Why are we calling this flop?
Well, we're probably behind. Villian could have AQ/99 here, so it's too early to give up just yet.
You saw SB's stats, right? 51/1/1. I really doubt he's 3-betting from the SB w/ AQ or 99.But, I think you're right that the possibility of getting a free river card, combined with the implied odds if we catch on the turn, make this an ok call.
Link to post
Share on other sites
You saw SB's stats, right? 51/1/1. I really doubt he's 3-betting from the SB w/ AQ or 99. But, I think you're right that the possibility of getting a free river card, combined with the implied odds if we catch on the turn, make this an ok call.
I saw his stats. I just chose to ignore them in my reply. I've been doing that a lot today. I read posts and my brain only picks up on certain things. Ignore my posts until after new years.I think the flop is a lot closer now.
Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...