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incredible, incredible call by joe cassidy


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#1 AshleyC

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 01:45 AM

From cardplayer.comDate / Time: 2005-12-14 23:04:00 Title: Joe Cassidy Wins a Huge Pot Against Patrik Antonius to Take the Chip Lead Log: With the board showing 9s-6d-5d-Qh-Jd on the river, Joe Cassidy bets about $100,000 into a roughly $500,000 pot, and Patrik Antonius raises to $300,000. Cassidy makes an incredible call with Ad-7c (ace high). Sure enough, Antonius shows Ah-3d, and Cassidy's kicker plays to win the entire pot. Joe Cassidy is our new chip leader with approximately $1.45 million, while Antonius is down to $500,000. I cannot get my head around this call. There is so, so little that he can beat, 7-8 straight, K-10 straight, most other suited connectors have hit the board, half of broadway has hit, any pocket pair. From what his opponent is likely to raise / call a raise with pre-flop I'd think he'd only beat A smaller rag.

#2 Petoria

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 01:47 AM

http://fullcontactpo...pic.php?t=41661Thank you, please come again. (In Apu's voice)
The path
of the righteous man is beset on
all sides by the inequities of the
selfish and the tyranny of evil
men. Blessed is he who, in the
name of charity and good will,
shepherds the weak through the
valley of darkness, for he is truly
his brother's keeper and the finder
of lost children.
And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those
who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers.
And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you.

#3 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 01:58 AM

That, or, he priced himself into the call.500k in the pot. He bets 100k. Raised to 300k. There's 1 million in the pot, and he only has to call 200k more. It's a good call, but, shoot, so much in the pot, it's hard not to.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#4 waldo

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 04:02 AM

hard not to call with ace high, your joking right

#5 Canada

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 04:06 AM

Not saying it's easy by any stretch, but holding the Ad makes it easierProblem is so many bluffs still beat him
"I was under the impression that if it wasn't for the moons gravitational pull the ocean would just float into the air" Loismustdiet

"I enjoy watchin people make fulls of themselves." Mattnxtc

#6 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 04:52 AM

waldo said:

hard not to call with ace high, your joking right
You mean, paying 200k to win a million and take a commanding chip lead against a player who's hyper aggressive and makes a funny re-raise on the river? Not easy, but, I've seen tougher calls.He needs to win this just under 17% of the time to have it be profitable.He's wrong not to call, really.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#7 kouta43

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:00 AM

DrawingDeadInDM said:

waldo said:

hard not to call with ace high, your joking right
You mean, paying 200k to win a million and take a commanding chip lead against a player who's hyper aggressive and makes a funny re-raise on the river? Not easy, but, I've seen tougher calls.He needs to win this just under 17% of the time to have it be profitable.He's wrong not to call, really.
Just dont make the mistake of thinking you are intelligent.

#8 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:06 AM

kouta43 said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

waldo said:

hard not to call with ace high, your joking right
You mean, paying 200k to win a million and take a commanding chip lead against a player who's hyper aggressive and makes a funny re-raise on the river? Not easy, but, I've seen tougher calls.He needs to win this just under 17% of the time to have it be profitable.He's wrong not to call, really.
Just dont make the mistake of thinking you are intelligent.
I'm sorry, I missed it.Who the fuck are you?
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#9 kouta43

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:09 AM

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

waldo said:

hard not to call with ace high, your joking right
You mean, paying 200k to win a million and take a commanding chip lead against a player who's hyper aggressive and makes a funny re-raise on the river? Not easy, but, I've seen tougher calls.He needs to win this just under 17% of the time to have it be profitable.He's wrong not to call, really.
Just dont make the mistake of thinking you are intelligent.
I'm sorry, I missed it.Who the censored are you?
It is an easy call, really- Not a dumbarse like your silly little self.

#10 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:13 AM

kouta43 said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

waldo said:

hard not to call with ace high, your joking right
You mean, paying 200k to win a million and take a commanding chip lead against a player who's hyper aggressive and makes a funny re-raise on the river? Not easy, but, I've seen tougher calls.He needs to win this just under 17% of the time to have it be profitable.He's wrong not to call, really.
Just dont make the mistake of thinking you are intelligent.
I'm sorry, I missed it.Who the censored are you?
It is an easy call, really- Not a dumbarse like your silly little self.
Apparently you missed the above bolded part.Go eat a vegemite sandwhich, pud.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#11 kouta43

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:17 AM

you typed he is wrong not to call. You are dumb.

#12 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:24 AM

kouta43 said:

you typed he is wrong not to call. You are dumb.
6:1 on his money.1/(6+1) = 14.3%You need to be right less than 3 out of 20 times to make it a profitable call.If you don't make this call (at least) 3 out of 20 times, you are dumb.I'd explain it further, but I'm not certified to teach the mentally disabled.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#13 kouta43

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:29 AM

wow you can calculate percentages. You jsut continue to think that folding is a mistake there... you moron. He is getting great odds, so you msut always call. Your are retarded, and know very little about poker.

#14 oojeemeflip

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:29 AM

Chill people..... it WAS a great call, correct or not .

#15 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:33 AM

kouta43 said:

wow you can calculate percentages. You jsut continue to think that folding is a mistake there... you moron. He is getting great odds, so you msut always call. Your are retarded, and know very little about poker.
I'm going to have to ask you to stop throwing your own shit at the guards, sir. No, you must win three out of twenty times to make this call correct.Read the above post, where I even bolded for you, where I said it wasn't an easy call, and then read your posts.Realize you are only truly making yourself look like a jackalope. You're not going to hurt my feelings or make me look dumb by challenging my skill as a poker player. I'm sorry your mother drank heavily with you in the womb, but I had nothing to do with it.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#16 Canada

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:37 AM

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

you typed he is wrong not to call. You are dumb.
6:1 on his money.
Actually its 4.5:1Other than that, let it go - kouta's being a tool
"I was under the impression that if it wasn't for the moons gravitational pull the ocean would just float into the air" Loismustdiet

"I enjoy watchin people make fulls of themselves." Mattnxtc

#17 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:39 AM

Canada said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

you typed he is wrong not to call. You are dumb.
6:1 on his money.
Actually its 4.5:1Other than that, let it go - kouta's being a tool
You're right. It's 22%, not 14%.My mistake.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#18 Canada

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:41 AM

DrawingDeadInDM said:

Canada said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

you typed he is wrong not to call. You are dumb.
6:1 on his money.
Actually its 4.5:1Other than that, let it go - kouta's being a tool
You're right. It's 22%, not 14%.My mistake.
I'm right here too :D
"I was under the impression that if it wasn't for the moons gravitational pull the ocean would just float into the air" Loismustdiet

"I enjoy watchin people make fulls of themselves." Mattnxtc

#19 DrawingDeadInDM

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:41 AM

Canada said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

Canada said:

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

you typed he is wrong not to call. You are dumb.
6:1 on his money.
Actually its 4.5:1Other than that, let it go - kouta's being a tool
You're right. It's 22%, not 14%.My mistake.
I'm right here too :D
Heh.Very much so.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#20 Municipal Hare

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Posted 15 December 2005 - 05:47 AM

DrawingDeadInDM said:

kouta43 said:

wow you can calculate percentages. You jsut continue to think that folding is a mistake there... you moron. He is getting great odds, so you msut always call. Your are retarded, and know very little about poker.
I'm going to have to ask you to stop throwing your own shit at the guards, sir. No, you must call 3 out of 20 times.
Nonsense. Learn what pot odds are before you try to apply them.Making the mathematically correct call three times out of twenty will show three-twentieths the expected profit of calling all twenty times.ETA: Unless you mean 3/20 to break even, 20/20 to maximize profit.




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