Posted 28 February 2005 - 07:27 AM
A few things I consider as I get closer and closer to the bubble - 1. How low are the lowest stacks. If there are 2 people with say... 1000 on different tables, the pressure is on them, not you, to double up. You apparently had 9 people stacked at this point, so clearly there are a few in very rough shape. 2. Where are the big stacks at my table, and what are their stack sizes in relation to mine. A much larger stack behind me will probably be eager to call. However, he might also be more likely to sit back and use the tight play of the short stacks to his advantage. Big stacks have all kinds of power over stealing blinds from the small stacks in this situation, so why would he risk losing all of the potential cash he could pick up from the blinds over the next few hands while everyone is ultra-tight just for your 6k. 3. What percentage of my stack do I stand to gain by just pushing all in at this point. 6200, 2100 in the pot. That's 1/3 of my stack simply by stealing the blinds, if I get called, I might be in great shape to a loose big stack that's just trying to get rid of the small stacks. You're in MP. EP, Someone would probably put you on a premium if you pushed in. From MP and being a short stack, this looks more like a blind-steal, so you might get action from hands you have dominated. 4. Which is more important to me, profiting, however small it is, from this tournament, or making a run at the serious money. If you can say to yourself that you are content to just take the $50 and buy into the next tourney, so be it. I think you won't find many people here that agree with you though. The time invested in one of these things, for a $20 profit translates to less money/hour than you would probably have made playing a microlimit table for that duration.All that being said, I push all in here. And I'll be honest, I don't want to get called. In the majority of situations that you are called, you're going to find yourself behind, and I'm more than happy to take my stack from 6200 to 8300. Gives me that much more to work with the next time I run around to steal the blinds.