boils down to simple math??
Started by akishore, Nov 19 2005 05:24 PM
6 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 19 November 2005 - 05:24 PM
edit: taking a shot at 100/200. pretty sure this is the right forum. :wink: i open with A
7
in cutoff. this specific hand was in six max, but it really makes no difference.small blind and big blind defend.(6 sb) K
J
4
check, check, i bet, sb calls, bb folds.sb is a super-straightforward loose/passive (but not retarded) mouse. his check/call here indicates no pair--he bet/calls any flopped pair. most likely a flush draw or a straight draw of some sort.(4 bb) 4
check, i bet, call.(6 bb) K
check, i ...he doesn't fold a jack here, or any pocket pair if he's come this far. but, he might fold an ace, or might call with a Q. i really have no idea.does a bet here have any merit?aseem
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#2
Posted 19 November 2005 - 05:29 PM
I'm checking behind. Its highly unlikely that he folds any hand that has you beat (or A high for a split) and I don't see Q high calling to many river bets here.
#3
Posted 19 November 2005 - 05:39 PM
Quote
i open with A 7 in cutoff. this specific hand was in six max, but it really makes no difference.
#4
Posted 19 November 2005 - 06:39 PM
Hey Aseem, I think it boils down to a small pot as well. If your read was correct it's reasonable that he is behind + can't call a bet. The times you bet and he calls with a better hand + folds a worse hand or calls with an Ace seem to offset those times your bet forces an Ace or a better hand to fold or a weaker hand to call often enough for this to be an unprofitable bet... I think.
#5
Posted 20 November 2005 - 09:50 AM
Ill bet here, slight chance he'll fold (a better or equal hand), and if he does call and I lose, I'll get called down later more
Suggestive thinking, causing your perspective to change
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I can find, satisfaction in a bag of weed
Everything I need, leave it to the trees
It can make me feel better, and every day I wake
Niggas rollin' up blunts, and mo blunts, and mo blunts
And I keep a case of Swisher Sweets in the trunk
So when I'm rollin', smokin', chokin', just floatin
And when I need to free my mind
I can find, satisfaction in a bag of weed
Everything I need, leave it to the trees
It can make me feel better, and every day I wake
Niggas rollin' up blunts, and mo blunts, and mo blunts
And I keep a case of Swisher Sweets in the trunk
So when I'm rollin', smokin', chokin', just floatin
#6
Posted 20 November 2005 - 05:01 PM
Yes.Bet it all day.On chance he folds an Ace.He's not raising this if he is straight foward.So you risk one bet to win 6 or split.******** read replies *********
#7
Posted 20 November 2005 - 08:15 PM
i like a bet here - figure you're probably splitting with most any calls, though you may get called by Q-high. i think your read is too specific though - don't see how you be sure he is not check/calling with some paired hands. i think you can only bet here for value if that is a near-certainty.i just don't like showing down a hand like that though. your image will be that of a bluffer, since they won't realize the thought you put into your value bets. personally, i prefer a tight image, but you are much better at betting for value and not spewing, so perhaps a tight image is not as beneficial to you.cheers,daniel
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(5) Broncos to win the AFC @ 11
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(2) Bears to win SB @ 42
(0.5) Red Sox to lead AL East @ 6.5
(1.5) White Sox to lead AL Central @ 17.25
Indians to lead AL Central @ 15
Nationals to lead NL East @ 9
(0.5) Marlins to lead NL East @ 6
Padres to lead NL West @ 29
(0.5) Rockies to lead NL West @ 6.5
(0.5) Cardinals to win NL @ 9
(2) 76'ers to win title @ 31
Webb Simpson to win US Money Title @ 17
Brandt Snedeker to win US Money Title @ 26
(5) Broncos to win the AFC @ 11
(2.5) Broncos to win the SB @ 21
(2) Bears to win SB @ 42
(0.5) Red Sox to lead AL East @ 6.5
(1.5) White Sox to lead AL Central @ 17.25
Indians to lead AL Central @ 15
Nationals to lead NL East @ 9
(0.5) Marlins to lead NL East @ 6
Padres to lead NL West @ 29
(0.5) Rockies to lead NL West @ 6.5
(0.5) Cardinals to win NL @ 9
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