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#1 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:05 PM

look i may be wrong and sorry if i am. but i got a great read on an nba game 2night and thought i would share it with you all. i got the nba package, watch games every night, and have won my nba fantasy league 2 of the past 3 years , so i know what im doing. if u bet on sports , i would suggest throwing at least your regular wager on this game, if u can afford to lose a big amount, without it ruining your bankroll, i would suggest betting heavy and lots more than your usual amount on this game.here is the game. i like the ny knicks +8 at denver. here is the deal. denver was extremely hot the end of last year when george karl joined the team, winning like 25 of their final 30 games. it was an abnormal streak, but people still think this years denver team is just as good as the one that went on that streak, they are not. denver has been favored too much by the bookies all year so-far, eventually vegas will catch on and adjust their lines. also, nene, a young , improving pf for denver is out for the year, he is a key part of their bench. also , kenyon martin will now be out at least this game and maybe more with knee problems. tho i think kenyon is a b-tch and not a sweet team player, im hoping the team will be worse w/o him. (i may be wrong on this, as k-mart's loss may actually make the team a better team)ok now for knicks. they started like 0-4. they are a bad team but definitely improving. larry brown is a good coach, and is beggining to play his young players more minutes. channing frye and nate robinson, are showing lots of potential and frye even scored like 25pts last game. they still have eddie curry, marbury , crawford, and q-tip to go with these players. anyway, i think the ny knicks are underated right now by the bookies and will be for the next few weeks as they continue to improve. also, in their last game, marbury was benched down the stretch of a semi-close game vs the lakers , so i expect a big rebound game from him.all that being said, the line of denver -8 is rediculous. im not 100% sure on this , as no bets usually are, however i honestly believe this game should be a pick-em or denver by a point or two. if u are risky and want to make even more money, u could bet the knicks money line, as they are +330 right now. that means 100 gets back 330+100, but they gotta win outright.unfortunately i am not a high roller enough to make serious dough myself on this game, but i can win a few billz if it goes as i expect, maybe u can win some yourself too.. because i cant bet like 10 grand outright on this game, ive had to add a few other games in parlays cuz i really want to win more than 110 bucks tonight, but that is all i got in my account. if u got a lot of dough , i would suggest only taking the knicks game, but i did have others i liked. here are my bets for the night. i got a 75$ 2 team parlay ---- ny +330 to win straight up/ phoenix -11.5 pays like 550 plus the $75 backi got a $10 4 team parlay ---- ny +8 / pho -11.5 / charlotte +14 / toronto +9.5 . pays 130 + 10 backand then 25$ on knicks +8the phoenix game is similar to the knicks. utah is missing andrei kirilenko which is huge, they struggle scoring points. however, phoenix is strugglin themselves, which is why i am more confident with the knicks cuz they are playing better ball right now.sorry if i lose you money your welcome if i win you money

#2 kers2

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:07 PM

Did you make the same post over at NWP and say that you liked the Nuggets -8 at home?
QUOTE(DinkDonk @ Thursday, September 4th, 2008, 12:40 PM) View Post
I guess this is all unnecessary rambling because Hollywood personifies something I hate about most people. He can take valuable knowledge, stare it right in the fucking face and never let a single sentence absorb into his brain.

#3 joeltebbutt

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:18 PM

4 team parlays are nearly always -ev
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#4 statedogg

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:23 PM

Quote

if u can afford to lose a big amount, without it ruining your bankroll, i would suggest betting heavy and lots more than your usual amount on this game.
If you bet on sports I would suggest never doing this.

#5 foteeninches

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:27 PM

because denver is at home that line is right on. denver is 3-1 at home with an average MOV of 15.5.

#6 foteeninches

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:28 PM

that phoenix line may be a good one to bet tho.

#7 Ninjaballz

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:35 PM

Denver -8 is my biggest play of the day $385If you are so sure it is a horrible line and have an awesome read on this game, you should just put all the money NY +8. Why on earth would you parlay?

#8 HoosierAlum

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 12:36 PM

If you are betting on regular season NBA games you might as well head to the local casino and bet on red or black at the roulette wheel.




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#9 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:08 PM

HoosierAlum said:

If you are betting on regular season NBA games you might as well head to the local casino and bet on red or black at the roulette wheel.
yeah any team can win any night over the course of the season. i find i do well tho when i follow specific teams for a short term period.

#10 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:09 PM

Ninjaballz said:

Denver -8 is my biggest play of the day $385If you are so sure it is a horrible line and have an awesome read on this game, you should just put all the money NY +8. Why on earth would you parlay?
its simple. i got bad money management :D honestly tho, winning 100 on the day just aint juicy enough for me. gotta go for the bigger score

#11 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:17 PM

statedogg said:

Quote

if u can afford to lose a big amount, without it ruining your bankroll, i would suggest betting heavy and lots more than your usual amount on this game.
If you bet on sports I would suggest never doing this.
i dunno, my dad would have much more money for retirement if he listened to me for the only two times ive told him to bet the ranch on a sports game in my life. one was patriots +14 vs rams in super bowlother was notre dame +12 or so home vs usc this year

#12 gilbertology

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:17 PM

lol are you trying to get the line moved so you can bet on Denver. No way the Knicks win this game, and even if its close toward the end(5-10pts), fts will seal the deal. Remember, Denver has all-star 6'9 shooting guard Dermarr Johnson to reign down 3s on the Knicks porous D. NY counters with Matt Barnes/QRich. Hahahah please, I'll make a personal wager with you on Denver +8. - Damus

#13 insano

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:18 PM

Sports betting is for Posted Image
The Arsonist had oddly shaped feet

#14 Simpleton

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:28 PM

If this game doesn't cover, will you give me your address so I can come throw a brick thrpough your window?

#15 Simpleton

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 01:33 PM

Wait a minute. I just read the entire entry. Your lock is NY yet you bet more on the sucker bets than you did on NY. That is pretty bad. You must pick plays like Brandon Lane. If you don't know who that is, go see Two for the Money.

#16 mrdannyg

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 02:03 PM

well i'm a sucker i guess i put NY +8 even though i hate the knicks parlayed with my beloved raptors not to cover the 9 point spread because goddamn they suck.i was thinking about putting phoenix to cover on the parlay too, but i think it'd be bad luck to actually bet on a decent team. steve nash is the man.daniel
Long-term bets:

(2) 76'ers to win title @ 31
Webb Simpson to win US Money Title @ 17
Brandt Snedeker to win US Money Title @ 26
(5) Broncos to win the AFC @ 11
(2.5) Broncos to win the SB @ 21
(2) Bears to win SB @ 42
(0.5) Red Sox to lead AL East @ 6.5
(1.5) White Sox to lead AL Central @ 17.25
Indians to lead AL Central @ 15
Nationals to lead NL East @ 9
(0.5) Marlins to lead NL East @ 6
Padres to lead NL West @ 29
(0.5) Rockies to lead NL West @ 6.5
(0.5) Cardinals to win NL @ 9

#17 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 02:04 PM

Simpleton said:

Wait a minute. I just read the entire entry. Your lock is NY yet you bet more on the sucker bets than you did on NY. That is pretty bad. You must pick plays like Brandon Lane. If you don't know who that is, go see Two for the Money.
maybe im spoiled, but winning 100 aint enough for me. i wanna hit biggger, unfortunately i only had 100 or so available to play with , so i had to tweak a bit.

#18 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 02:07 PM

mrdannyg said:

well i'm a sucker i guess i put NY +8 even though i hate the knicks parlayed with my beloved raptors not to cover the 9 point spread because censored they suck.i was thinking about putting phoenix to cover on the parlay too, but i think it'd be bad luck to actually bet on a decent team. steve nash is the man.daniel
boston has struggled last few games, and raptors are starting to play inspired ball. they finally are getting that aroujo dork out of the lineup and getting villanueva more mins. hey keeep in mind last year the bulls started 0-9, now their sweet, maybe your raptors could do the same

#19 dscoot

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 02:11 PM

gilbertology said:

lol are you trying to get the line moved so you can bet on Denver. No way the Knicks win this game, and even if its close toward the end(5-10pts), fts will seal the deal. Remember, Denver has all-star 6'9 shooting guard Dermarr Johnson to reign down 3s on the Knicks porous D. NY counters with Matt Barnes/QRich. Hahahah please, I'll make a personal wager with you on Denver +8. - Damus
jsut for fun and some smack, sure ill bet ya pokerstars money, that is the only site i can do, well i can also do fulltilt too, but i only got 11 bucks there cuz i stopped playing there for a while. u wanna bet 10 bones on one of these sites? email the details at dscoot2000@yahoo.com . my roomie is outta town, im gonna be drinking, playing cards, checking my email, and watching the 'ba on the ticket all night long.

#20 Ninjaballz

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Posted 18 November 2005 - 02:11 PM

dscoot said:

Ninjaballz said:

Denver -8 is my biggest play of the day $385If you are so sure it is a horrible line and have an awesome read on this game, you should just put all the money NY +8. Why on earth would you parlay?
its simple. i got bad money management :D honestly tho, winning 100 on the day just aint juicy enough for me. gotta go for the bigger score
You will be a very poor man very quickly gambling like this.




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