I am sitting on about 43,000 in chips (average stack is around 15k). I will preface this by saying that I had a pretty good read on the table, and any big moves I made would keep position and my reads of the players in mind. So, I am sitting on 8-8 one off the button (9 handed game), and there are three callers (my read was that these callers would not play to a raise) so I too, with good position here just called (maybe a smooth call here is bad, but I liked the situation at the time)The button folds, SB folds, and BB checks, so five players in the pot, and the flop comes 4-9-J rainbow.The blinds were at 500-1K (very fast format), and the next biggest stack in this pot only had about 12K left. EVERYONE checks to me, and I push in 10K, which makes anyone in this hand put their remaining chips in to play.Here are my thoughts here, I am only worried about a hand like A-J 0r K-J here, maybe A-9 but probably not. Obviously 4-4, or 9-9 bothers me, but I thought any of these players would raise pre-flop with 9-9 or J-J, even with A-J the way the table had been playing.Turns out, I get called by the BB with K-9, and lose a third of my stack.I really don't like this players call here, but thats besides the point.Was I getting good fold equity pushing in here?
situational fold equity
Started by Absolute, Feb 04 2005 10:35 AM
5 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 04 February 2005 - 10:35 AM
i saw him at the riverbank. he was breaking bread and giving thanks. with crosses made of pipes and planks. leaned up against the nitrous tanks.
he said take a hit. hold your breath and i'll dunk your head. then when you wake up, you'll be high as hell and born again.
- The Hold Steady
he said take a hit. hold your breath and i'll dunk your head. then when you wake up, you'll be high as hell and born again.
- The Hold Steady
#2
Posted 04 February 2005 - 11:00 AM
Sure, I think so since anyone would have had to call almost their entire stack to call your bet. They'd still have enough left (>10BB) to avoid desperation, at least near term. But, I think a pot-sized bet of $5k would have been better. Overbetting the pot from a steal position looks like a steal to most players.Also, I would have called to 88 too, but only because there were 3 limpers. I'd want to encourage multi-way action from the button and blinds to increase the pot-odds for hitting a set. If it had been folded to me, I would have raise to at least $3k.As for the BB's call with K9, it's not that bad, imo. You made a 2x pot bet, which would look like a steal to me, and I wouldn't put you on a J. So, he had middle pair with a great kicker. Given his stack size, he made a good call, imo.
#3
Posted 04 February 2005 - 11:29 AM
If I had been at that table, I would have called you with top pair, no question or doubt about it. Reasons are (1) you showed no strength pre-flop, (2) it's a fairly quiet flop, best hand out there might well be a straight draw, and (3) checked around then big bet looks like a blatant steal attempt rather than a real hand. Second pair, as actually happened, is iffier, but I can see it simply because of the steal attempt. To make the big stack bully routine work, you really needed to raise preflop, I think. It looks like pre-flop you thought "big multiway pot, I'll keep 'em in and try to hit my set", then post-flop you decided to represent a big hand for the steal; switching gears like that might have tipped the K9 off that second pair and an overcard was good enough for a call.
#4
Posted 07 February 2005 - 01:13 PM
Where were you exactly with these 43,000 in chips, and may I have some please? Also my birthday is quite soon so I may materialize...yours,The ghost of Christmas yet to... gasp! whats that?!? A GREAT WHITE WHALE!!!!
you killed humor...
#5
Posted 07 February 2005 - 06:48 PM
Absolute said:
... The blinds were at 500-1K (very fast format), and the next biggest stack in this pot only had about 12K left. EVERYONE checks to me, and I push in 10K, which makes anyone in this hand put their remaining chips in to play.Was I getting good fold equity pushing in here?
#6 Guest_XXEddie_*
Posted 07 February 2005 - 07:25 PM
pretty dimple really....raise pre-flop. If your not gonna raise then fold. you gotta be up against AT LEAST 4 or 5 overs here. the raise woulda givien you a chance to keep the K 9 out
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