Jump to content

whats a good showdown win %


Recommended Posts

huh?i'm so confused...isn't 80% unusually tremendous?he's winning 80% of his showdowns? i wish i could do that...maybe i'm just having a completely braindead moment... how is he folding way too much or folding too many winners if he's winning a whopping 4 out of 5 showdowns?also, 55% - 60% is unusually high for limit. ideally, you want to be around 50%. i'm at about 49% and i'm trying to find out why i'm not a few points higher. wrto was on a good run when he was up to 53% or so, i think.am i just completely braindead?are we talking about folded to a river bet % and not win at showdown %??aseem

Link to post
Share on other sites
huh?i'm so confused...isn't 80% unusually tremendous?he's winning 80% of his showdowns? i wish i could do that...maybe i'm just having a completely braindead moment... how is he folding way too much or folding too many winners if he's winning a whopping 4 out of 5 showdowns?also, 55% - 60% is unusually high for limit. ideally, you want to be around 50%. i'm at about 49% and i'm trying to find out why i'm not a few points higher. wrto was on a good run when he was up to 53% or so, i think.am i just completely braindead?are we talking about folded to a river bet % and not win at showdown %??aseem
Yeah, I missed the boat on this one as well.I would be curious as to what is a good showdown % where you don't fold on the river in limit and NL.
Link to post
Share on other sites
80% is great. On GOOD nights I run 80%-85%. Usually I think I am around 60-65%.
60-65% is unusually tremendously high.actually, i take that back. this might be a good/normal number at tighter games where you win more pots you play in but the pots are smaller.small stakes games feature winning players winning fewer pots they play in, but those pots being far bigger.so, win at showdown % decreases, but that doesn't affect winrate (actually, winrate is higher at low limits because the increase in size of pots won is disproportionately higher than the decrease in showdowns won).aseem
Link to post
Share on other sites

I think what they are getting at with saying is he folding too many winners is that with that high of a showdown win %, he's only basically "nut peddling"whereas he may be folding hands that would havebeen winners at the river when he gets bet in to.I'd like to see his "folded to a river bet %" as well.

Link to post
Share on other sites
I think what they are getting at with saying is he  folding too many winners is that with that high  of a showdown win %, he's only basically "nut peddling"whereas he may be folding hands that would havebeen winners at the river when he gets bet in to.I'd like to see his "folded to a river bet %" as well.
this doesn't make sense at all.folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.folding LOSERS leads to a higher won at showdown %.ok, one thing i haven't considered is the sample size. it's very possible he's folding too much, but if this is a small sample, it may be coincidental that he's just coincidentally folding mostly losers.it just doesn't make sense that he's folding too many winners and thus his won at showdown % is whoppingly high.aseem
Link to post
Share on other sites
folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.aseem
Maybe I'm missing something here.If he folds a hand which would have won, it won't affect his showdown % at all, since he's not showing it down, he's folding it.If he's not showing down many hands, and only going to theriver with the nuts, or something very close to it, that wouldexplain his showdown win %.Like I say, I'd like to see a lot more stats before judging.
Link to post
Share on other sites

aseem is right. you should be looking at a number around 50% or you're folding too many hands on the turn and river, many of which could be winners.some numbers for you: (others should do the same as "proof")i am a 2.34 BB/100 player at 10/20. my WSD% is 51.2% over 30k-ish hands.i am a 2.97 BB/100 player at 5/10. my WSD% is 50.3% over 20k-ish hands.other players will give you similar numbers, i'm sure. it would seem that as players play tighter at higher levels (generally), you should need a higher WSD% to compensate for the smaller pots.i think what some are confused about is, like aseem said, that the poorer play at low limits generates such high pots that there is a very small percentage of each pot that is just your own money coming back to you. if you win 40% of your showdowns, but only 20% of the money in your pots belonged to you in the first place (this is often the case at micro and very low limits), then you're looking good, right? even when you're playing juicy tables at higher limits, you're putting in maybe 35-40% of the money at most into the pots that go to showdown.you're much worse off folding hands that are only a 25% chance to win by your estimate on the river than you are calling when you're "75% sure you're beat." that's because your call is much, much less than 25% of the pot. kapish?

Link to post
Share on other sites
folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.aseem
Maybe I'm missing something here.If he folds a hand which would have won, it won't affect his showdown % at all, since he's not showing it down, he's folding it.
A better way to think of it is: If you only showed down the nuts your show down % would be 100%. Obviously that's not a good idea because you would be folding too many hands that would have won, but you didn't show them down. That's how folding too many winners leads to a high showdown percentage.
Link to post
Share on other sites
folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.aseem
Maybe I'm missing something here.If he folds a hand which would have won, it won't affect his showdown % at all, since he's not showing it down, he's folding it.
A better way to think of it is: If you only showed down the nuts your show down % would be 100%. Obviously that's not a good idea because you would be folding too many hands that would have won, but you didn't show them down. That's how folding too many winners leads to a high showdown percentage.
interesting way to look at it.alternately, if you folded only some winners and no losers, your win at showdown % would go DOWN because the ratio of winners to losers would go down.i guess just one statistic can't completely give the whole picture on whether OP is folding too many winners or losers or what.aseem
Link to post
Share on other sites

Aseem, you're confused. His elevated W@SD percentage is very likely because he's folding to a river bet too often. As another poster mentioned, that one statistic alone without knowing the fold to river bet number is incomplete information.A general rule of thumb is around 50 % for looser games, upward of 60 % for much tighter, aggressive games. -GB

Link to post
Share on other sites
folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.aseem
Maybe I'm missing something here.If he folds a hand which would have won, it won't affect his showdown % at all, since he's not showing it down, he's folding it.If he's not showing down many hands, and only going to theriver with the nuts, or something very close to it, that wouldexplain his showdown win %.Like I say, I'd like to see a lot more stats before judging.
That is correct.Example: Say I only call on the river with the nuts. Every other hand, I fold. My winning showdown % is 100 but obviously I am folding a ton of winners.Make sense?
Link to post
Share on other sites
folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.aseem
Maybe I'm missing something here.If he folds a hand which would have won, it won't affect his showdown % at all, since he's not showing it down, he's folding it.If he's not showing down many hands, and only going to theriver with the nuts, or something very close to it, that wouldexplain his showdown win %.Like I say, I'd like to see a lot more stats before judging.
That is correct.Example: Say I only call on the river with the nuts. Every other hand, I fold. My winning showdown % is 100 but obviously I am folding a ton of winners.Make sense?
right. like i said above, winning players should post their PT stats on this. i guarantee that the biggest winners win around 50% of their showdowns in the long run at low limits.
Link to post
Share on other sites
folding too many winners on the river would lead to a LOWER won at showdown %.aseem
Maybe I'm missing something here.If he folds a hand which would have won, it won't affect his showdown % at all, since he's not showing it down, he's folding it.If he's not showing down many hands, and only going to theriver with the nuts, or something very close to it, that wouldexplain his showdown win %.Like I say, I'd like to see a lot more stats before judging.
That is correct.Example: Say I only call on the river with the nuts. Every other hand, I fold. My winning showdown % is 100 but obviously I am folding a ton of winners.Make sense?
well, like i said, i can provide a counterexample too.say you still kept calling at showdown with your normal hands, except removed a few winners at showdown. your win at showdown % would DECREASE now, since you're calling with the same number of losers but calling with less winners.just this number alone doesn't tell whether the OP is folding winners or losers.aseem
Link to post
Share on other sites
67%
and your winrate/limits/# of hands?i repeat: aseem is right. it's kind of silly that people are arguing this. WSD% is a pretty bona fide known stat to maximize winrate.
Link to post
Share on other sites

I only call on the river if I have the nuts. Even if it is checked, if I don't have the nuts, I will fold anyways, as I don't want to have to face the humiliation of losing. Therefore, my showdown percentage is 100 percent. I am 34 for 34 in 356 hours played, man, I am undefeated...

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...