Jump to content

i'm a maniac - too aggressive?


Recommended Posts

MP1 had reasonable raising standards (I think somewhere between 7-8 PFR%). MP2 was too loose PF (35 VP$IP), but played ok postflop.Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) converterPreflop: Hero is Button with [9h], [9s]. 2 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 calls.Flop: (10.50 SB) [8h], [Qd], [9c] (3 players)MP1 checks, MP2 bets, MP2 calls.Turn: (9.25 BB) [Qc] (2 players)MP2 bets, MP2 calls.River: (17.25 BB) [7s] (2 players)MP2 bets, MP2 calls.Final Pot: 25.25 BBThe only point I considered slowing down was after villian 3-bet the river, following my turn cap.

Link to post
Share on other sites

I just ran some numbers. It turns out I'm ahead here about 70% of the time. I adjusted the mathematical probabilities given the way the hand was played.Villians range - Math. Prob. - Adj. Prob. AQ/KQ - 36.36% - 25% Q9 - 4.55% - 10%Q8 - 13.64% - 15%QQ - 2.27% - 5% 88 - 6.82% - 10%JT - 36.36% - 35%I usually fear the worse when someone shows aggression on the river. In this hand, I wanted to just call the 3-bet. At the last second I said **** it, and raised. I think I'm missing too many value raises on the river.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...