Custom36 said:
I'm in the BB. I'm getting 4.5-1 on my call here, and 5.5-1 if we count UTG's call of the raise. I have good implied odds here, because I'm clearly going to get at least a calldown. I can win a big pot or lose a small pot - why don't you like this again?
pot odds are just part of the story. implied odds are more important, i think.take these two situations:three players limp to you on the button. since the BB is definitely in, you're getting 4.5-to-1 on your money with 10-7 suited.UTG limps, MP raises, you're in the big blind. again, you're getting 4.5-to-1 on your money with 10-7 suited (it's a reasonable assumption that UTG will just call and not fold or reraise).both have the same pot odds, but the implied odds are significantly different.implied postflop odds mostly have to do with how multiway the pot is and how loose the players are. against two players, i don't think you can expect as much bang for your buck as what i think you need to play 10-7 suited profitably (especially out of position... no free card play, for example).being in a three-way pot against what seems to be two hands that are big pairs or big cards isn't attractive to me at all.as for the lose-a-small-pot, win-a-big-one, i'm not sure how you figure that. i would agree with that in NL, but i don't think it's true in limit. you're [edit: NOT] flopping straights very often with this hand. what you're much more likely to flop is a a backdoor flush draw, a gutshot draw, a flush draw, and an open-ended draw (in the order of most likely to least likely).with this three-way pot, you often won't get the odds to chase the first two, and even when you flop the second two draws, you'll be paying money (probably more than one bet on at least the flop, etc.) to chase, and you won't hit most of the time, either.i don't understand how you figure to either lose a small pot or win a big one, because you're often going to be chasing and that creates big pots to lose.further, i find it hard to believe that you'd defend here but not play it for pair value. if the flop comes 10-8-2, are you really going to play it passively or just let it go on the flop? this is another scenario where you are just as likely to win a big pot as you are to lose one (in some cases, you might even just win a small pot versus losing a big one, when two big cards don't give you as much action as you want sine the flop missed them).i don't know, maybe it's close, but i just don't like the defend here. the little things of not being multiway enough, being out of position, not being a strong enough suited connector, not being able to play it for pair value confidently enough, etc., all just make it unattractive to me.aseem