Posted 28 July 2012 - 12:05 PM
First let me preface my comments by saying that I don't play a ton of cash these days, so my instincts may certainly be off.Hand #1: I pretty much agree with everyone. I also agree a bigger raise on the flop would have been warranted. I think you are in great danger of being coolered here and since you don't have much committed, I would fold. I mean, if the SB were bluffing, especially semi-bluffing, why would they bet 2/3 of their stack? Why not go all-in? I think the only thing you can hope for by callng/shoving is that the player is bad enough to make this raise with a big K. Even in that case, you're not out of the woods.Hand #2: again, I agree with others here, but here's something else to think about. The c/r on the turn is a fairly advanced play. I don't think he does that with any single pair J, even AJ. If he has an over-pair, he's pretty much counting on you having Jx minimum and being willing to play for your stack. Unless he is a fairly straightforward player, I don't put him on an over-pair here. There just doesn't seem to be a reason to min raise the turn with just an over-pair. I would think he would call or raise more. So, in my mind this opens it up to some other possibilities.option 1: He’s on some sort of bluff....representing the 3. it could be a stone cold bluff, or perhaps he has some sort of straight and/or flush drawoption2: he's made.. JJ or maybe 55. This would explain the fairly small raise.. keep you in if you have draws and maybe get you to commit all your chips if you have an over-pair or good J.As you can see, this makes for a very polarized situation, which makes it an awfully hard decision unless you have a good read on your opponent. I think folding is the safest course of action as I would lean towards option 2 as my read, but this is cash where people tend to take more risks. And if he is capable of bluffing this turn, that opens up other possibilities for his actions in hand #1.Hand #3: The math says call but I certainly wouldn’t think I was in very good shape. You’re praying to see 1010 or JJ here. I kind of doubt UTG has QQ and probably not KK either, but AA and AK are certainly possibilities. If there have been few hands that weren’t raised pre-flop, it pretty much indicates he likely has a big pair or AK.In general, I don’t mind trying to steal the pot pre-fop, or at least squeeze/isolate the original raiser, but I question your bet amount a little. While the UTG shove was a surprise, you have to assume the original raiser is at least going to call your raise here.. Once one hand calls, in my experience, that opens the door for at least one or two hands behind to call with a very wide range. If your raise only accomplishes getting rid of one player, it really hasn’t accomplished much except create a huge pot. If you’re going to try a squeeze, I think you need to bet more.. maybe in the $60 range or even more depending on the nature of the table. Nothing would have changed in this scenario since UTG would still shove, but I think it would have made it more likely you went to the flop against only one villain which is important given your hand and position. I also think a larger raise could get the original raiser to fold a small/medium pair, which I think is a very good result for you.The other thing to consider when deciding whether to squeeze or not is how you will deal with the original raiser. Are they the kind of player who will try to end the hand here with a monster like AA, or KK, or are they looking to play post-flop? What is their chipstack situation. Is calling your pre-flop raise a non-option (ie can they only shove/fold)? If they are a fairly solid player and have a fairly short stack (ie they can’t call your raise) I would probably not try the squeeze here since there’s a fairly good chance the original raiser will raise/go all in In that case, and you’re behind virtually any hand they could have. You’re not a mile behind, unless they have QQ, KK, AA or AK, but you are behind and you have to wonder whether it is worth risking so many chips in a marginal situation. In that scenario, I’m more likely to just call pre-flop and hope to flop either a big hand or a big draw.