Posted 31 July 2012 - 01:19 PM
Faulty logic to follow:I'd like to think I'd be repping a 9 with a draw here. If he folds to a turn bet, I win. If he calls, I get to the river, which makes me a str8. I think that betting the turn shows strength, so if Mr Tricky bets hard into the river, I have a much better idea that he's got a boat, otherwise the check/check on the turn simply opens the door for a stone-cold bluff. Sure, he could have trips, but is Mr Tricky really opening with x9?On the other hand, this probably isn't some random hand. Mr Tricky probably has quads or, at least a boat, because people just don't post normal hands here, do they?I stand with my read, though, I don't think he's got a 9 in the hole and even if he does AND he pairs the board, it's unlikely he's opening with K9/Q9. If he does, he got pretty lucky: Pay the man and say NH.I think it's a bluff, but this isn't an exact science.
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