Kendren said:
If I KNEW that, then of course not. But the OP doesn't present any evidence of this, in fact calls the SB a LAG, implying that he coud be raising with anything.
Let's be honest here, he doesn't have anything you're beating except for POSSIBLY 22 / 33. Even horrible and aggressive players aren't going to be raising with 23, 24, or 34. The only other hands you're ahead of is something like 3K, 2Q, and while he could easily be raising on just a high card like that, the overall chance preflop that both his cards are ranked 5 or higher (leaving you either a coinflip or 5 to 1 dog) is about 64% (780 out of 1300 combinations). Of the remaining 520 hands, many are unraisable by even the worst of players (23-29, 34-39, 45-49, etc). I think it's fairly safe to say that if he's raising, at least 70% or more of the time you're a coinflip at best. If you want to jam in money preflop when you're only a 55/45 favorite be my guest.
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You're right, I could, and in this situation, I'm willing to do that if for nothing else than to let the LAG know he ain't pushing me around. And I might just happen to win the hand, too. What if he's raising with 43o?
Great, he can't push you around while he takes your money. And ask yourself, do you really want to invest more money just because he MIGHT have 34o? What do you honestly think are the chances he has worse than 56o (worst hand that's still a coinflip)?
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Just about every time, considering my only read is his LAGness. I like the preflop 3 bet, it's almost a free card play before the flop. I like the flop raise, hate being 3-bet on the turn, and agree totally with calling down.
Yes, for a flop of 266, he should be jamming as only 55-AA, 6x, and 22 are beating him. Maybe it just comes down to play style preference but I think it's silly to invest alot of bets with a marginal hand against a player whom you could just as easily be either a 5 to 1 favorite or drawing dead. His raises mean nothing. He could actually have a hand, to which you'd only be spewing more, or he could be going for nothing but a bluff, but even if its the latter he still has 6 outs, and you are unlikely to get him to fold anyway.Plus the opposite of what you said earlier is true too. If he sees you call down something as marginal as 44 when he had something like medium pair on a 27T flop .. he's going to know the next time he has any real hand that you will definately call him down, if not raise.