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FullTilt $1/$2Preflop: econ_tim2 folds, MP1 raises, econ_tim 2 folds, Button calls, 2 folds, MP1 calls.Flop: (10.5 SB) [5d 9h 8s]MP1 checks, econ_tim calls.Turn: (11 BB) [4h]MP1 checks, econ_tim calls, Button calls.River: (20 BB) [6s]MP1 checks, econ_tim checks, Button checks.Final pot: 20 BBThe turn c/r from MP1 made me think he was slow playing a set, most likely 9s, but I would have to be pretty sure to fold.On the river, thought he might want to c/r.

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You are folding that turn...are you NUTS!!! Look at the pot. If you fold that turn with that card might as well just cap every street and fold on the river to check check.If anything I would have capped the turn as well.Bet the river, if he check raises again then call him down. I doubt anyone is in there with a 7 unless it's 7 7, you are most likely up against QQ or KK. I don't think a set of 9's would play it any different on that flop and turn then a person hold QQ or KK. Any set is a possible holding as well but I would still bet every chance I could with that board.

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the KK /QQ comment.looking back i suppose you werent basing your play on the hands they heldor i hope not.
How could I base my play on the hands they held? They didn't show their cards until the end. Also, I think leading the turn is OK, because maybe guy ahead of me could have a set, but I don't think the Button would cold call three bets with a medium pair. The capped flop doesn't convince me I'm behind.I guess the scariest cards are [Ah Kh] and [Ah Qh]
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the KK /QQ comment.looking back i suppose you werent basing your play on the hands they heldor i hope not.
How could I base my play on the hands they held? They didn't show their cards until the end. Also, I think leading the turn is OK, because maybe guy ahead of me could have a set, but I don't think the Button would cold call three bets with a medium pair. The capped flop doesn't convince me I'm behind.I guess the scariest cards are [Ah Kh] and [Ah Qh]
I don't think you understand what results based thinking is.Results-based thinking is "My bet on the turn was correct because in this particular hand my opponents held KK and QQ."
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the KK /QQ comment.looking back i suppose you werent basing your play on the hands they heldor i hope not.
How could I base my play on the hands they held? They didn't show their cards until the end. Also, I think leading the turn is OK, because maybe guy ahead of me could have a set, but I don't think the Button would cold call three bets with a medium pair. The capped flop doesn't convince me I'm behind.I guess the scariest cards are [Ah Kh] and [Ah Qh]
Typically opponents cap a flop with something more than than an overpair.That's why you check/call after that flop.As Absolute said, folding this hand would be simply horrible.
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