Jump to content


Was It A Good Laydown?


  • Please log in to reply
50 replies to this topic

#1 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 22 February 2010 - 10:48 AM

hello all, ive been playin nlhe tournys for some time now, and have "my own" srategy similar to daniels small ball, which i didnt realize til i see all the blogs and such. dont get me wrong, i am VERY loose too, im doing good with a 186% roi live, and was wondering what your thoughts on this situatuation were...playing a $250 nlhe tourny, 30 min blinds and starting with 10,000 chips, and the field was only 78. blinds are now at 300/600, and i have 10,700 chips, the 1st pos makes a min raise to 1,200, and i call in 6th pos with KdJd. im putting 1st pos on at least AK if not AA or KK (maybe thats wrong she could be weak?) a fold may have been better, but looking to hit diamonds , 2 pr or the same flop with diamonds, and of course (the loose playeri am) looking to steal it using position) so the flop comes KsQs10c and 1st position goes all in, and has me outstacked......wow! overbet to protect hand i presume, or semi-bluffing with 99 or Ax spades, and still having outs. i look at the possible min raise scenarios and think the only hands i have crushed are almost nil (AQ , A 10 , pkt JJ or 99) but can beat a set or most hands if played out. the dilemma is...what if pkt KK or AA or 10 10 ? is it right for me to put all my chips (9,500 which is still over 15 times bb) so i can be a big stack, or should i have done what i did...fold??? most scenarios i put out there in my head was putting me behind, but still a coin flip. then i think..what if AJ???im playin for a chop. does 15 bb's constitute an all in call there?? i felt it was too early. whether it was right or wrong, i still made it to 8th place, and still am kicking myself in the rear thinking i could have been huge stacked, and put a lot of pressure on everyone else. and may have won the tourny. i make huge laydowns to find myself in a better position later, but that was brutal to fold!! i still feel it was right tho...maybe not..ya, it was...well... LOL see waht i mean? thx a ton for the input joe

#2 fakepoo

fakepoo

    Poker Forum Regular

  • Members
  • 117 posts

Posted 22 February 2010 - 11:19 AM

Honestly, you are not deep enough to be trying to crack what you perceive to be AA/KK/AK with KdJd so you should be folding preflop. I would say you need at least 20 to 1 on your call preflop for this to be profitable and, if you intend to get it in on boards like this, you are actually putting yourself in a reverse-implied odds scenario.

#3 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 22 February 2010 - 11:56 AM

well poo, i did put myself in a bad position by calling pre and trying to hit "lightning" . i do try to chip up too fast since my game is seeing a lot of flops, and buying pots that are scary boards and such( my game needs 20-25 bb to play) i love busting big hands that the fish feel are good. getting back to the scenario...it was a sticky situation i put myself in, but i was there, and knowing i need 20 bb, do you still put it all in there??? i know, it depends on bankroll, do i cash, do i win, is it profitable, etc. i heard from some players that day that they would have broken their arm by not getting it in fast enough! like i say...im a rollercoaster for the first level or so. i feel its time to let people know i play a lot of hands and dont get scared, so later on, i tighten up (showing only great hands)and take down monster pots til the final table... then its only the nuts....maybe LOL what would you have done there if facing the all-in?

#4 cdipierr

cdipierr

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 901 posts

Posted 22 February 2010 - 01:22 PM

This doesn't depend on bankroll, etc.

If you assign a range of 99+ and AT+ (which you seem to be doing in the first post), then according to PokerStove you have a 50.229% equity. So having to call 9500 to win 11900 would be correct.

But if you tighten the range to TT+, AJ+, your equity decreases to 39.112%

Then if you stick with your initial read of KK+, AK, your equity is only 28.189%

So basically it depends on how well you're reading the initial raiser. If you can really put them on the wide 99+ range, then call, otherwise insta-fold.

That said, please fold this preflop. You have an M of less than 12 to start the hand. You should be looking to push the action, not mine for value.

#5 fakepoo

fakepoo

    Poker Forum Regular

  • Members
  • 117 posts

Posted 22 February 2010 - 02:18 PM

As played, the overbet shove seems like a 1-pair hand trying to protect (AA or AK likely). You would be drawing to the straight only which means that you would only have 6 or 7 outs. This makes your equity only about 25-30% which is not nearly enough to call the overshove. Your only good option here is to fold.

#6 Init2WINitHI

Init2WINitHI

    Poker Forum Regular

  • Members
  • 169 posts
  • Location:Sunny Hawaii
  • Favorite Poker Game:Texas Hold 'Em - NL of Course

Posted 22 February 2010 - 02:58 PM

I agree that you should fold this pre, but if you are set on trying to 'hit lightning' then don't hesitate to fold when the flop is messy - like this one, or misses you completely. Only proceed with this hand if you hit lightning.... esp live.



Poker Stars - InIt2WINitHI
Tilt - InIt2WINitHI

#7 TrueAce13

TrueAce13

    FCP Resident Donk

  • Members
  • 4,635 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Ohio
  • Favorite Poker Game:PLO NLHE

Posted 22 February 2010 - 03:09 PM

lol at this post...if your a winning player, your not playing a hand like this
Pokerstars: TrueAce13 (Willard)
FT: TrueAce13
My First Poker Blog, please read and help me get better!

#8 donk4life

donk4life

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 9,000 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 22 February 2010 - 04:01 PM

*you're

#9 TrueAce13

TrueAce13

    FCP Resident Donk

  • Members
  • 4,635 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Ohio
  • Favorite Poker Game:PLO NLHE

Posted 22 February 2010 - 04:07 PM

QUOTE (donk4life @ Monday, February 22nd, 2010, 4:01 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
*you're

gfy
Pokerstars: TrueAce13 (Willard)
FT: TrueAce13
My First Poker Blog, please read and help me get better!

#10 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 22 February 2010 - 04:34 PM

lol, the funny thing is that most everyone believes that a min raise in 1st position means you are strong....thx for the info guys. its the reaction and replys i was looking for LOL you guys are too easy! its early in the tourny and thats when to try that move, cuz it seems all the replys are going to fold to me if i min raise in 1st pos. i can see later in the tourny it does mean you are strong cuz you aint risking it, the money is too close and chips are PRECIOUS and i see now that it will work early also.

#11 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 22 February 2010 - 04:39 PM

QUOTE (TrueAce13 @ Monday, February 22nd, 2010, 5:09 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
lol at this post...if your a winning player, your not playing a hand like this


well ace, i see i just strengthened my knowledge on this. thx...see what i wrote to this at 6:34 today

#12 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 22 February 2010 - 05:35 PM

funny thing is...what could someone in 6th pos call a min raise from 1st pos with? some type of a suited A, Js10s/9s or like, KQ, Q10, AJ mid pkt pair, etc. so how can 1st position push like that? only 2,700 in the pot. i dont think it was 1 pair like someone said. why would 1st pos push? a bluff? it would cripple them to lose the pot! something for you to think about. the only hand they get you to fold is mid pkt pair. im sayin it was exactly AJ or possibly As9s/KK but i had a Kso...? or could be Js10s knowing id be in for my tourny life and i will fold. so does that tell you that people play a little loose in 1st pos early in a tourny? AA is beat by 2 pair or set 10s and would be drawing to 9 outs max which puts them at @36% to win. and as for the comment i made above on bankroll...some people play that way when a $250 buy in or cashing means nothing to them. poker has changed, and there is a lot to consider now-a-days. just tryin to get everyones mind to work...tight is not always right.

#13 Tehtoe

Tehtoe

    I like to hide in plain sight.

  • Members
  • 6,024 posts
  • Location:Milwaukee
  • Favorite Poker Game:MTTs

Posted 22 February 2010 - 05:38 PM

lol.

#14 wildspoke

wildspoke

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 682 posts

Posted 22 February 2010 - 06:28 PM

QUOTE (Tehtoe @ Monday, February 22nd, 2010, 5:38 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
lol.


What he said.

#15 cdipierr

cdipierr

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 901 posts

Posted 22 February 2010 - 07:48 PM

It's threads like these that people refer to when they point out that poker isn't dead yet...



#16 GOCUBSGO

GOCUBSGO

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 697 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Iowa
  • Favorite Poker Game:NL MTT's

Posted 22 February 2010 - 09:51 PM

ummm




this thread is epic





as much as it pains me to have attempted to read all of that rambling by the OP, it was worth every second lol

#17 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 23 February 2010 - 05:36 PM

i guess i accomplished my mission..everyone thinks a min raise in first pos is strength, well, it also is just to see a flop.

when first read, everyone believed that 1st pos had a big hand and said fold pre. i put it to you that way. after all the scenarios i threw out, the comments changed and stopped...why? the game nowadays, as well as mine, is not about what i have, its what i put you on and making you believe that i have something that i dont. its poker/gambling, not flip up the cards, deal em out, and see who wins. if we played who has the best hand, it would be boring. i would call with 3-5 off there and see the flop, i get in cheap.any flop could come for my game. i would let you do a normal 3/4 to pot bet and catch a phantom card, such as A, Q, 10, 9, any spade, and you would be scared and check...so i then become the aggressor and push all in, leaving you a decision to be left with only 2 BB's. i change gears constantly at my home casino's, and people have no clue where im at. but dont do it often...thats why i am a winning player. i use math a lot, and if i sacrifice one play to win 3 tournys in a row...its worth it! now that i confused everyone here...see you at the tables good luck. im not here to give good advice, just an opinion, sorry, im here to win

#18 30odd6

30odd6

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 65 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:aitkin minnesota
  • Favorite Poker Game:strip

Posted 23 February 2010 - 05:55 PM

tournys are so much luck to make it all the way, why not use skill and get knocked out instead of letting the cards do it for you? the odds of cashing (the same as card and pot odds)are there too. you can tell how a tourny is going...am i hitting everything and can sit back and collect chips, or am i getting sucked out on constantly?? if the latter, then make it happen yourself.....who cares about playing tight and TRYING to make it to the money? people cash on average of what....upper 20 some percent. you will just blind out if a day like that is happening. go for it, and push to get on to the next tourny. dont make yourself suffer! words to live by, I'M FRIKIN SERIOUS. im at 186% roi in the casinos, so dont think im a crazy player, just being honest. sure, play a good game but REALLY mess it up once in a while so no-one knows where you are at! way to easy to figure out tight players. one last suggestion: you need a lot of time in the saddle to be able to pull this stuff off.

the main objective is: LOSE SMALL, WIN BIG!!!!

#19 Tehtoe

Tehtoe

    I like to hide in plain sight.

  • Members
  • 6,024 posts
  • Location:Milwaukee
  • Favorite Poker Game:MTTs

Posted 23 February 2010 - 07:05 PM

Sample for ROI?!

I bet you're a largely losing player in most MTTs due to your seeming lack of basic understanding of the game.

#20 SwolyswoND

SwolyswoND

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 1,170 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Indiana
  • Favorite Poker Game:Limit Hold Em, Razz

Posted 23 February 2010 - 11:32 PM

QUOTE (GOCUBSGO @ Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010, 12:51 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
this thread is epic


+1

QUOTE (Ninja Ace @ Wednesday, March 24th, 2010, 2:07 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Flops are kind of like vagina's. The wetter they are, the harder you hit them.




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users