Sick Boy 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 I had a pretty serious diagreement with a friend of mine recently over this hand.Close to the bubble. You pick up A4o utg. Your M is 3. Table has a pretty even mix of tight and agressive players with stacks varying between 5-25 M. Whats the play? Link to post Share on other sites
Ko8e34 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Snap fold. Link to post Share on other sites
SwolyswoND 1 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Insanely easy fold. Link to post Share on other sites
rrumsey 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Insanely easy fold.agree we have only one over when we get called, at best Link to post Share on other sites
outsider13 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Snap fold. Insanely easy fold. Link to post Share on other sites
BeaverStyle 1 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Shove, and then when you get looked up by A10, say, "I thought I had aces! WTFFFFFFFFFFF?!?!? FML!!"or fold. Link to post Share on other sites
rrumsey 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Shove, and then when you get looked up by A10, say, "I thought I had aces! WTFFFFFFFFFFF?!?!? FML!!"or fold.our just say you only looked at one card lol!!! Link to post Share on other sites
TrueAce13 18 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Nits....Alright, I think about it and then fold Link to post Share on other sites
Darth Maple 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Damn this is where I've gone wrong all my life. If the blinds are coming round and crushing our stack further wouldn't it be better to shove the A4 have a calller and pray he has KJ/KQ etc or do we let our stack shrink further and get about 3 or 4 callers when we finally do shove.Man I hope someone can explain why its an easy fold. Link to post Share on other sites
HighwayStar 8 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 I think it's probably borderline. Link to post Share on other sites
rrumsey 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 i probably shove this: A7+, K9+,Q9+,J8+,10-8+,2's+ i mean i wanna say shove any ace but i think with the bigger stacks probably calling us a lot i want a good chance at 2 overs for a decent race Link to post Share on other sites
Sick Boy 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Author Share Posted October 27, 2009 Im starting to feel like a bit of a dick here. I thought that was an easy shove... Link to post Share on other sites
HighwayStar 8 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 M of 3 is what? 7-8 BBs post antes? I could see this being a shove. Find a good shove chart and see for yourself. I think it'll be rigt on the border. A4s will def be a shove, A6/7o will def be a shove Link to post Share on other sites
HighwayStar 8 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 agree we have only one over when we get called, at bestEven if this was true, which it isn't, it's flawed thinking you see in far too many people - ie it doesnt matter if youre always behind when called, the chips you can people up when people fold more than outweights it. You're rarely going to be less than 30% vs a calling range too. Sa Link to post Share on other sites
Sick Boy 0 Posted October 27, 2009 Author Share Posted October 27, 2009 Even if this was true, which it isn't, it's flawed thinking you see in far too many people - ie it doesnt matter if youre always behind when called, the chips you can people up when people fold more than outweights it. You're rarely going to be less than 30% vs a calling range too.Thats what I was thinking, it doesnt really matter if i get called by a better hand what mattered was that i needed to win a pot, and the amount of chips that were in the middle accounted for like 60% of my remaining chips or something sick like that. I didnt really wana get called but even if I did alot of the time I would have a shot....wouldnt I? Link to post Share on other sites
HighwayStar 8 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 It's a tough calculation to do with 8 people to act - you have to kind of guess at an average calling range.(this is assuming the blinds are 100/200/25 - the number at the bottom next to open shove is the EV of the shove)But say the table is "tight" and call with the top 7% on average - 88+,ATs+,KTs+,AQo+It#s +EV by a looong way.Say they call about 11% - 55+,A9s+,KJs+,ATo+,KQIt's -EV by a medium amount.Say they're crazy and calling really lose. - 17.6% - 22+,A6s+,KTs+,QJs,A7o+,KJo+It's really bad.I guess if they';re gonna be calling 20% + then it's going to start swinging into +EV again.So yea only shove if your table is insanely tight. I think if there were only 4 to 5 to act, it's going to be unexploitable against any calling ranges. Link to post Share on other sites
SwolyswoND 1 Posted October 27, 2009 Share Posted October 27, 2009 Yes, it's going to be quite hard to put people on a calling range here, for the short stacks Highway's middle range (the top 11%) will likely be the accurate, while the big stacks can gamble, will know how desperate you are, and will look you up as wide as Highway's wide range (top 17%). I agree that A7o would be okay, but 44-77 and A5-A7 will be big enough parts of their calling ranges to make A4 a poor shove here.As highway mentioned, its being UTG, not the cards themselves, that make it a poor shove. You're just not going to take this down often enough with 8 players remaining to make up for the poor equity you have when called. Link to post Share on other sites
Biff Goods 0 Posted October 28, 2009 Share Posted October 28, 2009 don't know if it's right or not but I usually fold this. closer to the button I shove. Link to post Share on other sites
rrumsey 0 Posted October 28, 2009 Share Posted October 28, 2009 its being UTG, not the cards themselves, that make it a poor shove. You're just not going to take this down often enough with 8 players remaining to make up for the poor equity you have when called. this sums it up perfectly. deeper i could justify shoving this hand due to the increase folding equity we haveOh and one of the above post said closer the button shove this: yah if it is folded. In and 8 max i would wait till hijack or cutoff to push it, thats enough people out we start to like or situation imoI could see a possible shove if most of the table was around a M of 5-6ish makes the folding equity we need also Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now