Jump to content

Um Can Someone Tell Me The Odds Of This Happening?


Recommended Posts

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10+$1 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.comUTG (t1480)UTG+1 (t1580)Hero (MP1) (t1500)MP2 (t1230)MP3 (t1970)CO (t1470)Button (t1420)SB (t1380)BB (t1470)Hero's M: 50.00Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8 :3h, 8 :club:2 folds, Hero bets t60, 1 fold, MP3 calls t60, 2 folds, SB raises to t120, 1 fold, Hero calls t60, MP3 calls t60Flop: (t380) 8 :qh, 5 :club:, K :qh(3 players)SB checks, Hero checks, MP3 checksTurn: (t380) J :jh(3 players)SB bets t120, Hero calls t120, 1 foldRiver: (t620) A :qc(2 players)SB bets t120, Hero calls t120Total pot: t860Results:SB had K :ts, K :3d (three of a kind, Kings).Hero mucked 8 :jh, 8 :ts (three of a kind, eights).Outcome: SB won t860PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10+$1 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.comBB (t1480)UTG (t1580)Hero (UTG+1) (t1140)MP1 (t1230)MP2 (t1850)MP3 (t1470)CO (t1420)Button (t1880)SB (t1450)Hero's M: 38.00Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 4 :4h, 4 :D1 fold, Hero bets t60, MP1 calls t60, MP2 calls t60, 4 folds, BB calls t40Flop: (t250) 4 :4h, 9 :5c, 3 :D(4 players)BB checks, Hero bets t80, 1 fold, MP2 calls t80, 1 foldTurn: (t410) 10 :D(2 players)Hero bets t200, MP2 raises to t1710 (All-In), Hero calls t800 (All-In)River: (t2410) 8 :7s(2 players, 2 all-in)Total pot: t2410Results:Hero had 4 :5c, 4 :D (three of a kind, fours).MP2 had 9 :3h, 9 :D (three of a kind, nines).Outcome: MP2 won t2410literally on back to back hand of the 3rd and 4th hand of a SNG... wtf?

Link to post
Share on other sites

LOL is that 50/50 post a level? Morons...The odds of it happening the first time is 50/50 (happens or it doesn't), so to have it happen two consecutive times is 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4, or 25%.

Link to post
Share on other sites
LOL is that 50/50 post a level? Morons...The odds of it happening the first time is 50/50 (happens or it doesn't), so to have it happen two consecutive times is 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4, or 25%.
but once it's happened the first time it's already happened - which is a probability of 1 so the odds are 1 x 0.5 = 0.5 = 50/50
Link to post
Share on other sites
but once it's happened the first time it's already happened - which is a probability of 1 so the odds are 1 x 0.5 = 0.5 = 50/50
Yeah but it happening the first time decreases the odds of the 2nd time so it's probably closer to 33%. It's like if you flip a coin and get heads, if you flip the coin again you're statistically less likely to get heads again.
Link to post
Share on other sites

Yah set vs set sucks!!! Already in the money of the 5$ rebuy trying to go deep and thisPokerStars Game #30691875290: Tournament #180540482, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level XX (1000/2000) - 2009/07/20 18:28:37 PT [2009/07/20 21:28:37 ET]Table '180540482 248' 9-max Seat #4 is the buttonSeat 1: pizzamialno (28886 in chips) Seat 2: Syrran (146009 in chips) Seat 3: tomy69 (43322 in chips) Seat 4: alextreme777 (41029 in chips) Seat 5: mark_999 (54922 in chips) Seat 6: loulandes (92579 in chips) Seat 7: Pedrozzzz (46720 in chips) Seat 8: stortaperen (52804 in chips) Seat 9: whoknew93 (49560 in chips) pizzamialno: posts the ante 250Syrran: posts the ante 250tomy69: posts the ante 250alextreme777: posts the ante 250mark_999: posts the ante 250loulandes: posts the ante 250Pedrozzzz: posts the ante 250stortaperen: posts the ante 250whoknew93: posts the ante 250mark_999: posts small blind 1000loulandes: posts big blind 2000*** HOLE CARDS ***Dealt to mark_999 [Td Tc]Pedrozzzz: folds stortaperen: folds whoknew93: calls 2000pizzamialno: folds Syrran: folds tomy69: folds alextreme777: folds mark_999: raises 5000 to 7000loulandes: folds whoknew93: calls 5000*** FLOP *** [3d Ac Th]mark_999: bets 6000whoknew93: calls 6000*** TURN *** [3d Ac Th] [9h]mark_999: bets 12000whoknew93: calls 12000*** RIVER *** [3d Ac Th 9h] [2s]mark_999: bets 14000whoknew93: raises 10310 to 24310 and is all-inmark_999: calls 10310*** SHOW DOWN ***whoknew93: shows [Ad Ah] (three of a kind, Aces)mark_999: shows [Td Tc] (three of a kind, Tens)whoknew93 collected 102870 from pot*** SUMMARY ***Total pot 102870 | Rake 0 Board [3d Ac Th 9h 2s]Seat 1: pizzamialno folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 2: Syrran folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 3: tomy69 folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 4: alextreme777 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 5: mark_999 (small blind) showed [Td Tc] and lost with three of a kind, TensSeat 6: loulandes (big blind) folded before FlopSeat 7: Pedrozzzz folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 8: stortaperen folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 9: whoknew93 showed [Ad Ah] and won (102870) with three of a kind, Aces

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...