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[Koroshiya]

"With a field of over 2500 players, the greatest player in the world, whoever that may be, is very unlikely to win the event in their lifetime, even if they entered fifty times. Poker, including tournament poker, is all about getting the best of it over the long run. But now, while we can still get the best of it on our bets, there is no way at all to ensure any sort of payoff on that within our lifetimes. Long gone are the days when Johnny Chan could best a couple hundred players and win back to back titles and then place second the following year. From this point on, you could do everything right, and never even get close to winning in your lifetime. The long run ain't long enough."..."To win a No Limit Holdem event with over 2500 players, you need to have played well and gotten extremely lucky, simply because that is the nature of Holdem, but also because that is how a whole generation of players are learning how to play the game -- "I go all-in". Race after race, virtual coin flip after coin flip... even if you play outstanding poker, and regularly get significant edges over your opponents, for example every hand you play you are a 2-1 favorite, to continually not lose requires Alaska-sized loads of luck." -Steve Badgerfull article at http://www.playwinni...cles/04/11.html