What do you think about if he's in the Hijack? I kinda think that this is the tweener spot.
My thought processes were that my hand was probably flipping against his range (He was easily the loosest player at the table in terms of open raising), there was dead money in the pot and I'd just seen him open raise/fold about five hands ago, even though with this stack he shouldn't be.
Also what if our hand is AJ?
Thanks for the additioinal info.
AJ gives us another flip with TT, but doesn't solve a ton of problems.
3 key ingredients to ponder:
1. ) The fact that villain has just raise/folded within an orbit makes it a bit more likely he's got a hand he'll go to war with.
2. ) The big blind is down to 5x Big Blind range. Doesn't mean MP1 isn't trying to pick on the short stack, he's just chosen a spot where the player in the big blind is desperate and much more likely to call, lending credence once again to MP1 having a hand with showdown value.
3. ) We don't have any legit fold equity. MP1 has tossed 1/4 of his stack into the pot for his open raise. He may have raised folded an orbit ago, but that was less than 20% of his stack at that time.
AT (or even AJ) has some showdown value, but not a lot. Any play we make here hinges upon the likelihood of MP1 laying down PF, The hands we'd want him to call us with are precisely the hands he'd potentially lay down PF. A lot of our flip hands (middle pairs) he might even open shove in this spot, reducing the number of "flip" hands he'd table after calling our shove.
The other move we can make is the Stop and Go, where we flat and shove any flop. Unfortunately, we have the button, so Stop and Go isn't an option (we won't act first).
I mean, if the table is really loose and blinds are tough to steal, you may want to gamble and try and get into a coinflip, but losing First In Vig with a slightlybetterthanmarginal hand... It's just a very close fold, really.
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