I Can Haz Overcall? (sh) (20/40)

[CobaltBlue 662]

Bodog 20/40 LHE (6-handed)Cobalt is BB w/ . I've been at the table a couple of orbits. So far, everyone as the table is playing loose and bad.Pre-flop:UTG calls, 3 folds, SB raises, Cobalt 3-bets, UTG calls, SB callsFlop (9 SB): (3 players)SB bets, Cobalt calls, UTG callsTurn (6 BB): (3 players)SB checks, Cobalt checks, UTG checksRiver (6 BB): (3 players)SB checks, Cobalt checks, UTG bets, SB calls, Cobalt ?

[Sheiky 0]

No way you can ahead here surely.Surely.Can you?

[No_Neck 0]

Bodog 20/40 LHE (6-handed)Cobalt is BB w/ . I've been at the table a couple of orbits. So far, everyone as the table is playing loose and bad.Pre-flop:UTG calls, 3 folds, SB raises, Cobalt 3-bets, UTG calls, SB callsFlop (9 SB): (3 players)SB bets, Cobalt calls, UTG callsTurn (6 BB): (3 players)SB checks, Cobalt checks, UTG checksRiver (6 BB): (3 players)SB checks, Cobalt checks, UTG bets, SB calls, Cobalt ?

there is no way you are good here 1/7th of the time or whatever....there is no pair on the board, maybe they are both on the fd? i dunno i am sure you have a reason for asking this, but I can''t see it i

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

Bodog 20/40 LHE (6-handed)Cobalt is BB w/ . I've been at the table a couple of orbits. So far, everyone as the table is playing loose and bad.

But you aren't everyone. We don't call with ace high when 1 person bets and another calls. If you're posting this hand because you folded and AJ took it down, then I don't think you have anything to worry about in making your money back.

[Viper_13 0]

I can see sb with AK,AQ,AJ thinking UTG is stealing on the end with nothing. And I can see UTG trying to make a desparate steal acting last with a missed FD. But I would think someone would have a small pair a lot of the time. And I don't see many FD that UTG wouldn't raise preflop that he would limp/call a 3bet with and/or not raise the flop with. But he is "loose/bad." I just don't think that this situation would be good for you better than 8/1 without a good read. But, I obv don't have any concrete numbers.

[Zach6668 513]

I think we're ahead of the SB very often, but a hand like 66 or 88 (less) wouldn't surprise me.UTG probaly has a pretty wide range here.I think the river call is quite close. Because of the fact that UTG bet, I think there's a chance he has air, and SB's call doesn't tell me that we're behind often enough, since AQ, AJ could be a huge part of his range.... I'm ok with a call, but it's probably really really close.

[navybuttons 16]

there is no way you are good here 1/7th of the time or whatever....

[checkymcfold 0]

if i'm planning on showing down in this spot, i'm raising the flop, taking a free card, and calling the river instead of using your line.as played, i really don't think we're good 1/7.

[CobaltBlue 662]

there is no way you are good here 1/7th of the time or whatever....

as played, i really don't think we're good 1/7.

What about 11% of the time? (We're getting 8-1.)I've been out of the Limit game too long and facing half-pot and pot bets of NL where I have to be correct more often. If I'd actually stopped longer to think about my odds, I think I would've called. I really felt that UTG had air and SB had A-high...like a lot...at least 25-30% of the time. I didn't see either opponent checking a pair on the turn and the river really shouldn't have paired them or warranted a bet if it did.Also, I did consider raising the flop. The SB's donkbet just really struck me by surprise.

[CobaltBlue 662]

For the record, UTG had 65o. And SB had AQo.