NonZeroPossibility 0 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Hero (SB) ~ $900Fish (UTG) ~ $250Playing 8 handed 1/3NLPick up 66 in the SB. Fish is UTG and limps for $3, 2 folds, 2 more calls to me.I raise it to $18, UTG (fish) calls. 1 call, 1 fold.3 players to the flopFlop comes 8d9d3hFiguring that flop couldn't have hit anyone, I lead out for $30Fish looks confused and says "I have a lot of outs, I got a ton of outs." Fish announces all-in for $200 more. Other guy folds, back to Hero who......? Link to post Share on other sites
MikeBauer26 0 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 .... Other guy folds, back to Hero who......?...decides to not go broke with the underpair and folds.You need to pay 200 to win roughly 270?Villain might a.) be telling the truth and be on a monster draw, probably not knowing that his two overs are outs too and you are a marginal favorite.-> generall question here: do you make those marginal calls for a whole stack? In the long run it'll have a positive expectation... but in the short-run i feel it's very frustrating to miss.b.) be lying and have just flopped it... set of eights... or any overpair where you are basically drawing to little or no outs.I fold too much... but is my reasoning correct here? Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 3 players to the flopFlop comes 8d9d3hFiguring that flop couldn't have hit anyone, I lead out for $30Firstly, that flop hits a lot of hands in a lot of different ways.Secondly, why are you betting half pot? Bet like a man. If you're betting here, bet $45.Fish looks confused and says "I have a lot of outs, I got a ton of outs." Fish announces all-in for $200 more. Other guy folds, back to Hero who......?Snap folds. With that speech he can't expect you to fold. He can't realistically be bluffing. So, he has a made hand, where you have 2 outs, or he has a draw.equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 54.293% 54.29% 00.00% 3225 0.00 { 66 }Hand 1: 45.707% 45.71% 00.00% 2715 0.00 { Ad2d } equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 45.000% 45.00% 00.00% 2673 0.00 { 66 }Hand 1: 55.000% 55.00% 00.00% 3267 0.00 { AdTd } equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 45.505% 45.51% 00.00% 2703 0.00 { 66 }Hand 1: 54.495% 54.49% 00.00% 3237 0.00 { JdTh } equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 37.727% 37.73% 00.00% 2241 0.00 { 66 }Hand 1: 62.273% 62.27% 00.00% 3699 0.00 { QdJd } In general, you're either 45% or you are dead. Link to post Share on other sites
mtdesmoines 2 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 back to Hero who......?... looks confused and says to self, "just remember who the fish is and it'll all be OK ... " Link to post Share on other sites
gt9550 0 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Um...fold. I probably don't waste my money raising 66 from OOP preflop anyways. If you are going to a bet of $30 on the flop screams weak, and it's another waste of money. Gotta go $40 to $45 as already stated. His speach seems a little shady too so 66 just doesn't seem like fun anymore. Link to post Share on other sites
Acid_Knight 2 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 In general, you're either 45% or you are dead.You should've thrown in another one in there where he turns over T9o or something and the hero is drawing to 2 outs. Hell, even 67o is drawing to 11 outs.How is this anything but the snappiest of snap folds? Link to post Share on other sites
SCS 0 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 I wouldn't have raised 66 from the sb in a low limit live game. There's really no point when you have almost 0% chance of taking the pot preflop, or even getting heads up. Plus there's really no need to raise when you can just pay half a blind more and try to hit a set. You'll get paid off when you do. Link to post Share on other sites
NonZeroPossibility 0 Posted April 4, 2008 Author Share Posted April 4, 2008 I wouldn't have raised 66 from the sb in a low limit live game. There's really no point when you have almost 0% chance of taking the pot preflop, or even getting heads up. Plus there's really no need to raise when you can just pay half a blind more and try to hit a set. You'll get paid off when you do.Usually I wouldn't but I had such a TAG image at that point, I was pretty sure everyone would think I had a big pp. I was up about $700 and had only shown down like 3 hands in 4 hours.This guy was so bad though.... One hand, he had the AK in a hu pot, flop was something like K87 rainbow. He bets $15 on the flop, gets called, turn is blank, he bets $15, gets called and river is a blank, he bets $15. Like WTF? I really believed he had either JT or a flush draw and my reads on him had been spot on since he sat down. I did not know what the hell to do. Link to post Share on other sites
Acid_Knight 2 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 I really believed he had either JT or a flush draw and my reads on him had been spot on since he sat down. I did not know what the hell to do.You fold. If he's got those hands, he's still a favorite over yours. If he's got any pair like 9x or 8x, you're drawing to 2 outs.This is not the spot to make a hero call. Link to post Share on other sites
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