Jump to content


Nfl Divisional Playoffs


  • Please log in to reply
53 replies to this topic

#1 GWCGWC

GWCGWC

    Poker Forum God

  • Members
  • 14,120 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Between Thought and Expression

Posted 11 January 2008 - 12:15 PM

What are the best parlays given these spreads?








Seattle Seahawks +7½ Green Bay Packers -7½

43
(-110)o
(-110)u




Jacksonville Jaguars +13 New England Patriots -13

50
(-110)o
(-110)u



San Diego Chargers +9 (-105) Indianapolis Colts -9 (-115)

45½
(-110)o
(-110)u




New York Giants +7½ (-115) Dallas Cowboys -7½ (-105)

46½
(-110)o
(-110)u





I'm doing several parlays but the following is what I think the most likely to hit:



8 Team Parlay #102399666

(101) Seattle Seahawks +8 Sat@2:30p

(101) Seattle Seahawks vs. (102) Green Bay Packers Over 43 Sat@2:30p

(103) Jacksonville Jaguars +13 Sat@6:00p

(103) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. (104) New England Patriots Over 50 Sat@6:00p

(107) San Diego Chargers vs. (108) Indianapolis Colts Over 46½ Sun@11:00a

(108) Indianapolis Colts -9 (-115) Sun@11:00a

(109) New York Giants vs. (110) Dallas Cowboys Under 47 (-115) Sun@2:30p

(110) Dallas Cowboys -7½ (-105) Sun@2:30p


Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 1720.54

#2 Jadaki

Jadaki

    IIOY?

  • Members
  • 22,247 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 11 January 2008 - 12:34 PM

QUOTE (GWCGWC @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 2:15 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
(110) Dallas Cowboys -7½ (-105) Sun@2:30p


I hate this line.

#3 Vandees

Vandees

    Poker Forum Nut

  • Members
  • 369 posts
  • Location:Des Moines, IA
  • Interests:Sports, cards, beer

Posted 11 January 2008 - 01:02 PM

Take the points with all the underdogs except the NYG. Take all the overs.
My mom always told me no matter how dumb the dealer looks, always cut the cards.

#4 The Dynasty

The Dynasty

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 74 posts

Posted 11 January 2008 - 01:16 PM

Pats will win in a blow out.....

giants will win.....

colts blow out.....

seatlle will win...

#5 wsox8

wsox8

    trying to break even at LIFE

  • Members
  • 11,421 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Heights
  • Interests:cheese, apple juice, raisins

Posted 11 January 2008 - 01:27 PM

GB -7 buy the 1/2 point
OVER

Jacksonville +14
UNDER

Colts -9
UNDER

Dallas -7 buy 1/2 pt
UNDER

#6 wsox8

wsox8

    trying to break even at LIFE

  • Members
  • 11,421 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Heights
  • Interests:cheese, apple juice, raisins

Posted 11 January 2008 - 01:27 PM

QUOTE (The Dynasty @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 3:16 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Pats will win in a blow out.....

giants will win.....


colts blow out.....

seatlle will win...

nopeeeeeeeeee

#7 DrawingDeadInDM

DrawingDeadInDM

    BCS Bound

  • Members
  • 18,246 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 11 January 2008 - 02:21 PM

QUOTE (The Dynasty @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 1:16 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Pats will win in a blow out.....

giants will win.....

colts blow out.....

seatlle will win...


No, no, yes, no.

1 out of 4 is not bad.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#8 The Dynasty

The Dynasty

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 74 posts

Posted 11 January 2008 - 02:29 PM

lol guys w/e we will see what happens..........

when im 4/4 on my GAME picks then we will talk k


giants are better than cowboys

seattles better than green bay

this is post season time things change guys

7th level thinking

#9 Jadaki

Jadaki

    IIOY?

  • Members
  • 22,247 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 11 January 2008 - 02:31 PM

QUOTE (The Dynasty @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 4:29 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
giants are better than cowboys


1st level thinking says the Cowboys already beat the Giants twice this year.

#10 DrawingDeadInDM

DrawingDeadInDM

    BCS Bound

  • Members
  • 18,246 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 11 January 2008 - 02:39 PM

QUOTE (The Dynasty @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 2:29 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
lol guys w/e we will see what happens..........

when im 4/4 on my GAME picks then we will talk k
giants are better than cowboys

seattles better than green bay

this is post season time things change guys

7th level thinking


What changed? Seattle's defense is worse than Green Bay's..Seattle's offense is worse than Green Bay's..they're playing at Green Bay.. help me out here..

Giants gave up 76 points to the Cowboys already this season... I guess I'm dim.
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#11 GWCGWC

GWCGWC

    Poker Forum God

  • Members
  • 14,120 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Between Thought and Expression

Posted 11 January 2008 - 03:27 PM

QUOTE (wsox8 @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 2:27 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
GB -7 buy the 1/2 point
OVER

Jacksonville +14
UNDER

Colts -9
UNDER

Dallas -7 buy 1/2 pt
UNDER


I like this too but the line is +14 for Jacksonville. I made the bet anyway since I didn't have anything close to this and, well....it's ten bucks.


QUOTE (DrawingDeadInDM @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 3:39 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
What changed? Seattle's defense is worse than Green Bay's..Seattle's offense is worse than Green Bay's..they're playing at Green Bay.. help me out here..


HOOOOOOOOOMMMMMEEEEEEEEEERRRRRRRRRRR


Actually, I think GB wins no doubt but do you think they cover? 7 1/2 seems a bit much for this game. I have GB in a couple of money line parlays.

#12 wsox8

wsox8

    trying to break even at LIFE

  • Members
  • 11,421 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Heights
  • Interests:cheese, apple juice, raisins

Posted 11 January 2008 - 03:37 PM

I like GB to win this one.. not totally sure by how much. I'd do a 7 or 7.5 pt teaser and add either Indy or Dallas and just do that. GOod luck with the teaser. I hope it hits.. Also, GB should be able to stop SEA because they are one dimensional. They cannot run, while the Packers have a solid running game and we all know about their passing game.

#13 donk4life

donk4life

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 8,998 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 11 January 2008 - 03:46 PM

QUOTE (The Dynasty @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 4:29 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
lol guys w/e we will see what happens..........

when im 4/4 on my GAME picks then we will talk k
giants are better than cowboys

seattles better than green bay

this is post season time things change guys

7th level thinking



Yeah.. a team that has lost twice to the team they're playing are better than them.. I like your way of thinking

#14 DrawingDeadInDM

DrawingDeadInDM

    BCS Bound

  • Members
  • 18,246 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 11 January 2008 - 03:47 PM

QUOTE (GWCGWC @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 3:27 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I like this too but the line is +14 for Jacksonville. I made the bet anyway since I didn't have anything close to this and, well....it's ten bucks.
HOOOOOOOOOMMMMMEEEEEEEEEERRRRRRRRRRR
Actually, I think GB wins no doubt but do you think they cover? 7 1/2 seems a bit much for this game. I have GB in a couple of money line parlays.


I don't know that they cover 7.5(I'd probably take Seattle to cover), but, I was speaking directly of outright wins(as I think FWP was).
I'm also fed up with the common cold but I just hate to say goodbye.

#15 The Dynasty

The Dynasty

    Poker Forum Newbie

  • Members
  • 74 posts

Posted 11 January 2008 - 05:43 PM

Things are changing guys..........

Cowboys havent had a good game in over a month.......

T.O. (who I love) will be jammed at the line and prob be just a decoy.....

Giants have been poised to go to the SB for about 4 years and maybe just maybe this is their time to come into their own...

Their pass rush is out of control.... Manning "seems" to be turning the page

and they havent lost an away game since week 1 or 2 vs dallas......

I like the giants if demarcus ware doesnt have a beastly game.....


as far as GB vs Seattle I know Shaun Alexander isnt a premier RB anymore but I think he can/will be this week this one time........

Seattle has really no holes and I just think Seattle is a better team and will show their previous championship form......


Just how I feel guys we all know the NFC is wide open all year we/everyone has said this now playoff time comes and all of a sudden OMG OMG favorits FTW........

one favorite will lose but I think both will....
and I am just being honest I want a cowboys Pats SB but this is how I see this week playing out


fwiw I have been a sports fanatic for about 12 years and such so this is not BS I truly believe this is whats going to happen

#16 grocery_mony

grocery_mony

    ^Douchebag^

  • Members
  • 9,060 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:The great white north
  • Interests:poker,money

Posted 11 January 2008 - 06:20 PM

QUOTE (DrawingDeadInDM @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 2:39 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
What changed? Seattle's defense is worse than Green Bay's..Seattle's offense is worse than Green Bay's..they're playing at Green Bay.. help me out here..

Giants gave up 76 points to the Cowboys already this season... I guess I'm dim.

Id take Seattles D over GB's. They are starting 4 of 11 on the pro bowl. Plus its is the kind of preasure D that can get Favre to make mistakes. Seattles special teams are better(although there coverage on kicks wasnt that great). Most of all I like Seattles expirience. Alexander is washed up but Morris isnt chopped liver. Look to what happened in the GB/Dallas game to how Favre can still relapse into forcing the ball when under preasure. Green Bay and Favre had an outstanding season but its over tommorow.

#17 CaneBrain

CaneBrain

    The chosen few....

  • Members
  • 14,045 posts
  • Location:The NFL Films Vault
  • Favorite Poker Game:5/10 NLHE (100 max buy in)

Posted 12 January 2008 - 10:08 AM

QUOTE (DrawingDeadInDM @ Friday, January 11th, 2008, 2:39 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
What changed? Seattle's defense is worse than Green Bay's..Seattle's offense is worse than Green Bay's..they're playing at Green Bay.. help me out here..

Giants gave up 76 points to the Cowboys already this season... I guess I'm dim.



Far be it from me to defend FWP's alias......


but I actually agree with most of his defense of the Giants pick. The Giants seem to play better on the road. Who knows why but they do. havent lost on the road in months.

second, eli looks fantastic. He is so inconsistent that this could change in a heartbeat.....but I think he may have finally gotten over the hump.

third, Dallas. They have not played a good game in a month. Remember Indy 2005. Momentum is a good thing maybe even the best thing. (thank you shawshank)

fourth, pressure. If romo craps the bed after his tryst with Jessica, he will get skewered. (totally unfair, but it is what it is).


Add all that together and I like the G-men a lot here. I only bet on them to cover (+9 on pinnacle great spread and +7.5 on Bodog)......but I like their upset chances a ton. Because Dallas handled them so easily twice, I couldnt money line it.......but i am not sure how much bearing those first two games will have on this one. Both teams feel like they have changed.


fwiw, Seattle? please. That looks like the blowout game of this weekend......and not in the Hawks favor. Green Bay by 17 or more imo.
"Give a little bit.....give a little bit of your chips to me...."

#18 Miguel McHarris

Miguel McHarris

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 719 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 12 January 2008 - 10:27 AM

Taking the over (44) in the GB game.

#19 Poppy_Hillis

Poppy_Hillis

    Poker Forum Veteran

  • Members
  • 3,835 posts

Posted 12 January 2008 - 11:20 AM

QUOTE (Miguel McHarris @ Saturday, January 12th, 2008, 10:27 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Taking the over (44) in the GB game.

Wow you got screwed. As of last night that number was 40.5.

#20 Miguel McHarris

Miguel McHarris

    Poker Forum Groupie

  • Members
  • 719 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 12 January 2008 - 11:51 AM

QUOTE (Poppy_Hillis @ Saturday, January 12th, 2008, 2:20 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Wow you got screwed. As of last night that number was 40.5.

Did not know that. Though I think 44 is too low. Lowest I found as of this morning was 43.5




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users