simo_8ball 1 Posted January 10, 2008 Share Posted January 10, 2008 Someone was asking me for advice on this hand, and I thought it might be trickier than it first appears.Full Tilt PokerNo Limit Hold'em Ring gameBlinds: $1/$26 playersConverterStack sizes:UTG: $207UTG+1: $252.45CO: $280Button: $280.75Hero: $363.25BB: $200Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with Q Q :club:UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $7, CO raises to $24, Button calls, Hero?CO is 25/22. No stats on the others. This looks like a standard raise/fold for ~$80, but that essentially turns our hand into a bluff. JJ and lower usually fold, and KK/AA shove (or trap us for stacks on a lot of flops). The only hand that might call is AK. However, if we flat call we are probably seeing a 4-way reraised flop OOP. Which just isn't nice at all.I can't see a line that I really like. Link to post Share on other sites
Acid_Knight 2 Posted January 10, 2008 Share Posted January 10, 2008 CO is 25/22. No stats on the others. This looks like a standard raise/fold for ~$80, but that essentially turns our hand into a bluff. JJ and lower usually fold, and KK/AA shove (or trap us for stacks on a lot of flops). The only hand that might call is AK. However, if we flat call we are probably seeing a 4-way reraised flop OOP. Which just isn't nice at all.I can't see a line that I really like.CO has fairly aggro stats and his range is much wider than AA and KK. The button can call in position with a lot of hands, but I don't think that AA and KK usually make up a ton of his range either since he's inviting the UTG+1 player into the pot and the stacks are fairly big, so he should want to give people worse implied odds to play against him if he had those hands. He's got AK/JJ-99 here a ton.With 100BBs, I'm just gonna play for stacks here. There enough dead money out there and a strong enough possibility that nobody's got AA/KK that you're gonna show a good profit here just reraising and taking it down most of the time or racing with AK.Even with the bigger stacks, I dunno. I think it's closer, but it'll still be best to raise here. I'd probably make it $105 to go and be really upset when the UTG+1 player or the CO shoves on me. I am pretty sure that you just take it down often enough to collect a nice little profit here though. Link to post Share on other sites
Syntonic 0 Posted January 10, 2008 Share Posted January 10, 2008 This is kind of an interesting hand.At first glance, I say just call. Now that I'm looking at it a bit more, I definitely say just call. Honestly, I'm more concerned with the BB calling in the blinds.Any stats on the button? I've seen lots of players (more recently) flat call in the blinds with AA. If he's just loose, he could be calling with 66-JJ.Is it too spewy to call here for set value? I don't really know what to do in these spots.Edit: I like Acid_Knights analysis. Thanks. Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted January 10, 2008 Author Share Posted January 10, 2008 I'm more concerned with the BB calling in the blinds.I've seen lots of players (more recently) flat call in the blinds with AA.The caller is on the button, not in the blinds. Link to post Share on other sites
Syntonic 0 Posted January 10, 2008 Share Posted January 10, 2008 Oops, sorry I misread it.Ok, then I agree with Acid_Knight, even though I call a lot with this type of hand in this position.What about jacks here? Call with jacks? Link to post Share on other sites
GeneralGeeWhiz 0 Posted January 11, 2008 Share Posted January 11, 2008 I probably raise to about 115-120 and call a push. standard. Link to post Share on other sites
krup24 0 Posted January 11, 2008 Share Posted January 11, 2008 i think based on slightly aggressive stats for initial reraiser i also 3-bet and call a shove Link to post Share on other sites
Acid_Knight 2 Posted January 11, 2008 Share Posted January 11, 2008 I probably raise to about 115-120 and call a push. standard.Meh, it's definitely NOT standard. I could see legit arguments for raising to $105-$120 and folding to a shove, making the raise and calling the shove or just flatting preflop. Link to post Share on other sites
mtdesmoines 2 Posted January 11, 2008 Share Posted January 11, 2008 I think I need to see a flop. Four raisers PF ... this is ugly. Flop/fold? (God, I'm gonna get scorched). Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted January 14, 2008 Author Share Posted January 14, 2008 My initial thoughts on the hand were that button's coldcall is a pretty narrow range. Probably AQ+, 99-JJ at most. Most likely hands are JJ and AK. That reduces the chances of CO's reraise being AA or KK. Combined with an UTG raise, I think AA is particularly unlikely here.What are we attempting to do with a reraise? If we reraise planning to fold to a shove, we hate JJ shoving. If we reraise planning to call a shove, we want JJ shoving as often as possible. The more we raise, the more fold equity we (probably) have, but then we get better pot odds to call the shove.Results were that Hero raised to $78, CO shoved and Hero folded.Should Hero raise more? How much should we raise with AA/KK here? Most importantly, why? We are already defining our hand as very strong with any reraise here (almost exclusively QQ+, AK), and if we are folding to a shove we aren't getting value from worse hands by raising more. The only benefit I see from making it >$100 is that he will fold lower pairs and AK a bit more often (in which case, would you raise smaller with AA/KK here?).It's a topic that's interested me lately - 4bet sizing. The usual reasons for raising are modified at this stage because you are suddenly somewhat shallow stacked compared to the bet sizes, you aren't defining your hand in any particularly effective way, you aren't getting too much value from worse hands, you are often WA/WB so you don't have to worry about pricing out drawing hands (other than in this situation against AK, but AK can't really smooth call hoping to catch a flop against our range), etc. etc.As an aside, I really think that the lack of a 3-bet% is unfortunate with PT+PAHUD, because there are 25/22's that rarely 3-bet light (the aggression comes from opening a larger % of pots), and there are 25/22's that 3-bet incessantly. Knowing that stat would really change the play in this hand one way or another IMO. Link to post Share on other sites
Acid_Knight 2 Posted January 14, 2008 Share Posted January 14, 2008 I have been watching a lot of CR videos from sbrugby and CTS and I think that's probably a problem in my game is making my 4 bets a similar interval to the 3 bets that I make, which are usually close to, or slightly over 3x the previous raise. You're right that you don't need to make them bigger because the act of 4-betting alone adds weight to your raise and should discourage action from other hands as much as you actually putting chips into the pot here.I really like the raise to $78 and fold to the CO shove. Link to post Share on other sites
cardcore 0 Posted January 14, 2008 Share Posted January 14, 2008 i know this is really weak, but the best advice i was ever given in poker was 'if you're not sure, fold and wait for a better spot" Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted January 14, 2008 Author Share Posted January 14, 2008 i know this is really weak, but the best advice i was ever given in poker was 'if you're not sure, fold and wait for a better spot"One of the best ones I ever heard was "if you never get bluffed off the best hand, you're calling too much." Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now