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Bluffing Against A Preflop Reraiser


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Full Tilt PokerPot Limit Omaha Ring gameBlinds: $0.25/$0.506 playersConverterStack sizes:UTG: $48.05UTG+1: $50.45Hero: $72.05Button: $53.05SB: $12.15BB: $111.80Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with K :D 7 :club: K :D T :DUTG raises to $1.5, UTG+1 calls $1.5 (pot was $2.25), Hero calls $1.5 (pot was $3.75), Button raises to $8, BB folds, UTG calls $6.5 (pot was $13.25), UTG+1 folds, Hero calls $6.5 (pot was $19.75).Flop: 8 :D 8 :) 6 :) ($26.25, 3 players)UTG checks, Hero bets $16Good move? Bad move?

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weird spot here, very likely that button has AAxx but you may get him to fold it on the paired flop. UTG apparently whiffed the flop. And you still have the straight draw, seems more like a semi-bluff but if anyone can call or raise, you're screwed.

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weird spot here, very likely that button has AAxx but you may get him to fold it on the paired flop. BudBundy apparently whiffed the flop as expected. And you still have the straight draw, seems more like a semi-bluff but if anyone can call or raise, you're screwed.
I think he is likely to repot this with AA with FD.
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What is button's PFR%?
He's 22/6. I think he has AAxx >95% of the time here.
I personally wouldn't do this without good reads on both UTG and button. UTG could be going for a check raise as well. I don't think this line works enough to make this +EV.
I like to think I have a reasonable read on BudBundy (UTG). I don't think he often shows up with an 8 here, and he's unlikely to call with a draw on a paired flop.I didn't have much of a read on Button, but figured AAxx would struggle to continue.
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