Like I said - he was loose bad...this was the 35th hand we had played together, and he was 37/2 and bled down to 3200 before the aforementioned double-up..
This one is close, too.. That original raise from the small blind means one of two things: Impossible strength (AA KK QQ), or a pair too large to see a 3 way flop with without reverting to set mining. I'd put his range from 88-AA here.. We beat 8/T/J, lose to A/K/9, and tie Q (unlikely).
I do not see him making this play with 77 or 66, and especially not with a big ace. It's a dry 9 hi, non connecting board. It's pretty safe to say he's not on any kind of straight draw, and something we-todd-did like A9 or *anything* that makes 2 pair is also out. If you are right, he's dead to 2 outs, if you are wrong, you are dead to two outs. Doesn't get more WA/WB then that, eh?
You've commited about 17% of your chips, you can certainly get away from this. Hard to swallow we might have been playing QQ for set value. But even a total nit knows he isn't losing 2 players with that PF raise or the flop shove. I *really* hate to fold this, this *is* the situation we were looking for to make the withdrawl from Mr. ATM. The only saving grace here is there is no real draws, and unless he has wet dreams involving Ace-Ten, we really are flipping a coin over him having TT JJ or AA KK 99. Yikes. I think a nit shoves tens or jacks a little harder PF facing early heat, this is the main reason I will lean toward fold.
You snap called didn't you? Don't blame yourself, in the heat of the moment and not in the confines of the strat forum, I do too
Whatever angle it is, i am pretty sure it will be obtuse.
I give you the gift of arousal and this is how you talk to me?