100 Sng Bubble Play

[WhatArunAA 0]

PokerStars Game #11157368327: Tournament #56596050, $105+$9 Hold'em No Limit - Level VII (100/200) - 2007/07/27 - 02:06:08 (ET)Table '56596050 1' 9-max Seat #7 is the buttonSeat 1: SSRRQQ (3830 in chips) Seat 5: ryanghall (2185 in chips) Seat 7: tankitan (3940 in chips) Seat 8: WhatArunAA (3545 in chips) SSRRQQ: posts the ante 25ryanghall: posts the ante 25tankitan: posts the ante 25WhatArunAA: posts the ante 25WhatArunAA: posts small blind 100SSRRQQ: posts big blind 200*** HOLE CARDS ***Dealt to WhatArunAA [Ad Jc]ryanghall: folds tankitan: raises 3715 to 3915 and is all-inWhatArunAA:???? villain is down 30k in sngs.

[timwakefield 69]

Wow that's a pretty gross spot, just because the blinds are so low for his push. Obviously he raises to 600 you can push on him there, but here it's pretty gross to call AJ to his 18bb all-in. Was he open-pushing every pot that he opened at this point? If so then I think you can call. Otherwise I think this is one of those spots where you have to pass up a potentially +ev chip situation because you're trying to survive the bubble. There's no need to race here against 77 when you have zero fold equity, so fold and let him keep making his massive overbets. If this was at 200/400 blinds then it's a call IMO, even with a somewhat shortstack still hanging around. At 200/400 villain's range SHOULD be very wide to open push. P.S. Convert youhr hands

[HubDub04 0]

Ok TJ,The answer is an OBVIOUS one. No matter what you do, call or fold, you will win this sng because of 2 reasons:1)you are an online poker phenom.2)you run like God whenever necessary.So if you decide to call with the AJ and he has, say, AQ, the final board will read A 3 4 J 7 and you will obv get the mobney shipped your way.GG sir. Nice score.

[StupidKid 0]

I don't get it^^^^^I agree with TW though, if I could reshove I'd prefer the hand much more.On the bubble of a sng however I'm vvvvvvvvvv rarely calling off my stack with AJ. If villain is as much of a donk as his stats say will you be able to find a better spot?

[CobaltBlue 662]

The fact that this is a turbo I think has to factor in a little bit. How much longer before the blinds go up?

[dtblizz 0]

ICM says fold right?I do not think it is a decent call unless he is doing this every single time he opens the pot AND he is opening everytime it is folded to him or he is first to act.

[rogerwilco 0]

It's close, but I think on the bubble that is a fold - at least on the level I play. In a $100 STT villain's shoving range here is probably wider in this spot, so I don't know... Still AJ is a very very marginal calling hand here in my opinon.You've probably been outplaying him all tourney long and he's pissed now and doesn't want to play with you postflop. ;)I say: muck it and beat him later on.

[sabes99 0]

as tim said before, unless he is open-pushing regularly, this has to be a fold...it's just too big a raise to want to call off for your entire stack with A-J

[Yahkin 0]

Fold and punish the shorter stack in 2 hands.

[WhatArunAA 0]

I elected to call.. the reason why I called is because I felt like this shove was A-rag OFTEN.. and rarely a hand that is beating me.. from an ICM point its a clear fold and I shouldnt have called in the first place... he ended up having AJ and we chopped.. I ended up taking 3rd:(

[tskillz187 0]

Read no replies. I think this is a fold, thought about it a bit and now I'm drunk and will post. I fold on bubble here.