Posted 22 July 2007 - 06:17 PM
I called on the end. Looking back on it, I had no business calling. Look at the options:
I can beat:
A-10. A-J, a bluff, or Ax suited in hearts.... - Way the guy played I figured he would check raise the first two options or lead at the flop. Ax suited hearts he would probably lead the turn.
K-10 hearts, Q-10 hearts, QJ hearts, JK hearts - Seems fairly unlikely, but possible. Busted draw picked up on turn and betting what he would call for the Q paired options. The heart/gutshot draw miss without a pair seems unlikely for that amount.
I cannot beat:
Set - Doubt it, would've check raised the turn at least.
A-Q, A-9 - Probably more action on the flop and turn with this.
A-8 - Likely with his play.
J-10 possible too. Although I would be surprised if he peeled one off on the flop with J10, or even on the turn. He had less than 3-1 odds on both streets.
So, like I said I called, and looking back I should have put him on A-8 at the very least. I think it is very marginal here, but thinking back I should've dropped the hand.
results below.
I was shocked to see him turn over J-10. I insta-called, but should've thought throught it a little more.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.