Posted 25 June 2007 - 08:34 AM
i think every street is wrong, so i'm not sure where to start.
preflop, 3-betting is better than calling. if you 3-bet, you're leading most flops, but clearly this one too. since we hit, it makes playing the hand a lot easier.
given preflop play, i like a check-raise much better than a donkbet. if you do choose to donkbet, i think you need to 3-bet. the worst option is to donk/call the flop, then donk/call the turn. you are getting horrible value - giving up the max bets to better hands, and winning the least from worse hands.
given the flop donk/call, you need to check/call or check/raise the turn, depending on villain's range and reads. given the scary turn card, i actually like check/raising better, since he's only winning with AA, AQ and QQ, and he can't 3-bet AA here.
river is fine.
the whole hand is gross, and i'm pretty sure you got the worst value on every street (except river).
Long-term bets:
(2) 76'ers to win title @ 31
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(5) Broncos to win the AFC @ 11
(2.5) Broncos to win the SB @ 21
(2) Bears to win SB @ 42
(0.5) Red Sox to lead AL East @ 6.5
(1.5) White Sox to lead AL Central @ 17.25
Indians to lead AL Central @ 15
Nationals to lead NL East @ 9
(0.5) Marlins to lead NL East @ 6
Padres to lead NL West @ 29
(0.5) Rockies to lead NL West @ 6.5