Posted 07 August 2006 - 03:32 PM
Although fold is still a decent option here, I'm surprised that noone has tried to defend calling or raising as an option here.Everyone is looking at our hand and saying, oh, its beat. There are only 3 HANDS that can be beating us right now. AA, KK, J 10, of which, only AA and KK kill our draw. So what are the odds that someone holds one of these 3 hands?AA or KK don't seem too likely with exception of maybe the big blind who made it two bets to go. There was not alot of raising pre-flop which would indicate that those two hands probaby don't exist. Another indication is that there is alot of betting on the flop. I would suspect that alot of players have made a pair as well as a flush draw. J 10 is the real hand to be worried about. So how likely is it that someone played with J 10 considering that we know that 1 A, 1 K, 3 Q's, 1 10, and 1 9 are not in their hand. Thats alot of cards that are needed to make J 10 a worth while calling hand. So would it be too bold to say that maybe we are ahead at this point in the hand?I think that folding does not make any sense. My choice would be simply to call. By calling and not capping it, I leave room for the big blind to make a raise which would tell me whether or not he/she holds the dreaded AA or KK. If the big blind continues to play this hand, I would seriously consider getting out unless I catch my straight or 1 outer. For anybody out there who doesnt want to play because of the flush draw I have this to say. I suspect that alot of players are holding that draw, what are the odds that it is even going to come?My two senseI will admit that after first seeing the hand posted I immediately voted for fold, but after carefully looking at the hand, I have changed my mind.