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BetItAll33

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About BetItAll33

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    midwest, USA
  1. Without any statistical evidence, I'm going to guess that this one change should not account for such a significant change in your overall VP$IP.how about sample sizes...You might also find this thread relevant and/or interesting:http://fullcontactpoker.com/poker-forums/v...pic.php?t=28120
  2. Well, I probably do leave some money on the table in these situations. I think that I subconsiously make the low-variance play sometimes rather than calling in a capped pot and folding 7/8 times. Calling is probably +EV.The whole semantics debate over drawing dead or "nearly" drawing dead is silly. The fact is, you have a 1/8 shot of hitting a set and you expect to win when you do and lose otherwise. this doesn't matter much since:
  3. i think an approximately 8-to-1 chance of flopping a set is a little better than drawing dead. you know, just a little.Well, drawing dead would be zero outs. In this case you have two. So, yeah, it is a little better. That's why I said "nearly". Clearly, you don't have a good chance of winning here and would be calling on the basis of implied odds when you hit a set. translation: If you don't hit a set, it will be nearly impossible to continue post flop. Sorry, I was unclear. I didn't mean that there would be tough decisions.not really.low/mid pocket pairs have a huge postflop strateg
  4. actually, you only need to make 6 BB when you flop a set to make this call profitable. 10 BB if it ends up being capped.you're numbers were calculated, I assume, by the odds of calling 4-cold, which is not the case here.You're right, I quickly based my assumption on the fact that you're losing 4 small bets, 7 out of 8 times.
  5. put it this way, when you do hit a set, can you make 14BB off of it? If you can't, then you probably can't call profitably here since you'll be folding almost every other time.
  6. I fold here. If you have the best hand, it's unlikely to hold up. If you don't have the best hand, you're drawing nearly dead. Not to mention, if you don't hit a set this will be nearly impossible to play post flop. If they're maniacs, you can find a better spot to bust them.
  7. Having the same problem. No response from UB yet.
  8. It's just a front end for a huge pokertracker database.
  9. iits not that unlikely.OK, upon further review it's about 20%, so not terribly unlikely.
  10. Easy there killer... I said I was just kidding. Anyways, 2k hands still isn't a big enough sample, but PFR of 6% isn't enough, and AF 1.5 isn't high enough. You can get by with 22% VPIP, but it's on the high side if you're playing full ring games. So, I guess I stand by my original comments.
  11. http://www.pokeromics.com/psearch.aspx?p=mattnxtc&l=1You're too loose, you don't raise enough PF, and you arent aggressive enough postflop.j/k man... I know this is a small sample, but if you have some PT stats you'd like to share, maybe we can help you plug the leaks. If you're a winning player (around 2BB/100) it's still possible to lose 140BB, but it's quite unlikely. It might be time to re-evaluate your game.
  12. Well, 4500 is obviously too small, and AA is obviously the biggest winner. At the beginning of small stakes hold 'em, Ed Miller says that 60,000 hands is far too small a sample to approximate the relative value of starting hands. Anyways, after about 25k, mine looks like this:AA KKQQAKAKsJJKQOdd, huh? /sw
  13. Pretty sure it was Al Bernstein, not Al Michaels.
  14. As Stephen A. Smith would say, "You've read Hellmuth's book, and quite frankly, that's all you need."/sw
  15. OK, let me change my stance. Since the CO is the one that came alive after the flop, I think you need to slow down. Most low-limit players aren't capping the flop here with a hand like AT, let alone QT. If he's in there with T5, more power to him. I just hope he doesn't leave my table soon.I would have to agree that 55 is a real possibility.Also, I really don't think that the 3 on the river changes that much. If you were ahead before, you're still ahead. If you were behind before, you're still behind.Check/call.
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