bdc30, on Wednesday, May 17th, 2006, 10:58 PM, said:
No, if you think you'll be incapable of folding if you get raised, then you CHECK and take the free showdown.If you think your hand is good, and will call even if you get raised, THENyou can lead out, but if you'd think about folding if you got raised, the free showdown will be the way to go.
Maybe. I often check this behind depending on opponent tendencies, but I was assuming against such an opponent the hand was still good. In that case, why not get more value out of it? At this moment you have no reason to think you are behind, but a C/R on the river might change that view.I could be thinking about this wrong, so please correct me if I'm off. My thoughts initially were that he should value bet, like I said, but maybe $10 or $14. But then looking at the opponents stack it seemed that he would have to call an all-in, so I lowered it a bit. If stacks were deeper, this is the line I would take since I would not put a standard opponent capable of bluffing like that on the river after I have showed alot of strength.(different opponent, different circumstances). So, what I was thinking is you should still bet for value, but if you end up calling an all-in when you know you are probably behind then it might be better to put the guy all-in first. That way, you will likely still get payed off the same when he just has TP as you lose when he hit some miracle two pair on the river. If you bet and are forced to call an all-in then you lose more when behind and then you win when ahead.Now that he has added the river, I think it is unlikely he hit that card. But given the stack sizes, I still think I like just putting the guy in now, since I feel the villain's calling range when behind won't change too much as it might look more like a bluff. I wasn't saying you should fear being check-raised, but just trying to balance the teims you are ahead with the tiems you are behind...Wrong way to look at it??? (and as jay-dub said, the key is knowing if villain is the type who would check a turned two pair like J9)