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Math And Strategy With Holdem


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#1 IamRaplika

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Posted 19 November 2016 - 05:12 AM

here i want to talk about raising hands like TT+...

BY the way they say you dont know how to play jacks

because Jacks are hard to play...lol...i got a solution

for that....


now a days everyone knows this 1/221 is AA

so KK+ is 2/221
so QQ+ is 3/221
so JJ+ is 4/221
and TT+ is 5/221


so all this means
KK+ =1/110.5
QQ+ =1/73
JJ+ =1/55
TT+ =1/44.5

so at a 10 handed table
it goes like this...(9 players + you=10 players right)

9/110.5 =1/12 for KK+ for someone to have you dominated
9/73 =1/8 for QQ+ for someone to have you dominated
9/55 =1/6 for JJ+ for someone to have you dominated
9/44 =1/4.88 for TT+ for someone to .....

so lets go over this


1 raiser and 4 callers
i say make your discision based on original raiser...

because with alot of callers and no reraise
the callers probably dont have a big hand...

So focus your math on original raiser try and pick up
tells on him...

after you decide if the original raiser is strong
by the stats you got above...

so 1 raiser 3x bb + 4 callers and blinds =16.5 bb

in the pot...so if i have TT+ here on Button or sb or bb

and i am almost last to act...

If I really feel the original raiser is weak
and the game usualy goes like LAG(Loose Aggro) during the session.

i feel like if the the hand can be won preflop
for 16.5 bb, id raise it pot 1/2...

reason is i dont want no one to call i just want
to pick up the 16.5 bb in the middle...

why you ask...here s why, if i do this twice a week
at the end of the week at a 2-5 game its like 82$ x 2=
164$ a week or 164$ x 4.3 =705$ per month


705$ with no rake cuz its preflop...
lets say this works every time...
this move pays for an apartment in montreal easily...


i know this wont work every time but be really carefull

with this move, with TT JJ QQ but with KK+ just do it
every time with 16.5 bb in the middle...
if you have TT-QQ take your time evaluate all tells
(betting patterns...LAG,LP,TAG game strategy also comes
into play and physical tells)

So good luck at the tables...

In the futur i want us to discuss more moves like this...

i will post more on the matter


Thanks for writing back in the thread IamRaplika

#2 IamRaplika

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Posted 19 November 2016 - 05:17 AM

If you feel i made a Math mistake plz tell me
i m here to share not everything is going to be perfect....

but i m here too teach and learn from you people also.... :icon_surprised:

#3 Dubey

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Posted 19 November 2016 - 01:30 PM

And they said NLHE wasn't solvable.

#4 IamRaplika

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Posted 25 November 2016 - 06:15 PM

i have another math and strategy tip for you guys....

my goal if people chip in replies and help my
threads become popular,is too post more tips.
So the people of www.fullcontactpoker.com can learn
from me. but i dont want this to be a one way thing...
I ask for you people too contribute...

Be it with a story about a play i wrote about
on my tips...successfull or unsuccessfull .Or even
you may disagree or agree tell me why...

I want us to get better at the game as a whole...

ok all these are not base strategy but strategy add ons..
A kind of arsenal we are building for cash sng or mtt
hold em games...

i want too become good in all games so feel free
too post about other games in my thread....

Ok we all know their is 6 combos for every pair right...


AA - 6 combos with all 4 aces availible in a holdem game...
6 combos amounts too 1/221 to have aces

But lets say i have AK
their are only 3 aces left in the deck right...
what are the chances of me being dominated by aces
or even kings(3 kings left also)
in the whole at a table of 10...

3 aces left in a deck amounts to 3 combos
3 kings left in a deck amounts to 3 combos

so i have AK the chances of me being dominated
by AAs and KKs is 6 combos or 1/221

++ lets add QQs which probably dont fold
in a 2-5 game if i put out a reraise...


so the chances of being dominated is 1/221.
the chances of being called 1/221 by QQs.

so 2/221 =110.5

at a table of 10 people or 9 villains

it goes like this

9/110.5=12

so 11 in 12 you wont be dominated nore called probably
when you have AK...

so in a LAG game. the trick is with AK is too reraise between
1.5x too 2x pot.
Why so much you may ask... simply because AK is not
a made hand and is a drawing hand and in a LAG game
you want every one out...

ex: sb + bb + 3x raise + call + call + call +call
as in previous example in a 2$-5$ game...

so thats 82$ and you reraise too 1.75x pot =143$...

assuming this works every time and fails once

the math goes like this

82$ x 11 =902$ that you pick up

143$ x 1= 143$ that you loose


so 902$ - 143$ =759$

so lets say you pull off this move 3 x a month
you ll make 759$ every 4 months

for a grand total of 2277$ a year.this is with out
rake may i add...


Thanks for reading please help make this thread
a thread too learn from each other and contribute
with your critics and real life examples of these plays....


thanks
:icon_think: have fun at the tables




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