Jump to content

ReefAquarium

Members
  • Content Count

    10
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

0 Neutral

About ReefAquarium

  • Rank
    Poker Forum Newbie
  1. What kind of bankroll do you think you need to play 4000/8000With an hourly rate of about 1/4 of a big blind and that huge standard deviation... What do you think you need for a bankroll to play 4000/8000 with a risk of ruin tolerance of about 1%?I know it's a tiny sample size of only 202 hours but do you think the traditional 300 Big blinds will not be enough here? (300*8000=2,400,000)Would 10 million be about right for a bankroll in a 4000/8000 game?How would you calculate how much a player would need in general..(assume he's a winning player)How do top players decide how big of a game to p
  2. You know nothing about him. He's probablly not a world class player who is representing a beginner over betting with a straight after check calling a dangerous turn.He doesn't know you have AK.The sequence was --- Turn:Check to Give Free Cards On a Dangerous Board... ---- River:Overbet Pot ---This means he probably missed his draw.You only have to be right 40% of the time to show a profit...He might be playing in a weird way (you certainly are) But calling is +EVStop playing weak tight, you're seeing monsters under the bed.
  3. He's on a busted draw or has a small piece of the flop.He didn't bet the turn with straight and flush possiblities. So he doesn't have a made hand.He overbet into the turn bettor to try to scare the weak tight players.out when the blank hit on the river.He's not on a monster, he's trying to overbet the weak tight players into folding, not make some money off his straight.He doesn't put you on AK, you played it really weird so he has no idea you have TPTK.You're getting odds to call.. so call.If 50% of the time he beats you shows you something like JT then fine.. you've made a +EV deciscionY
  4. He doesn't have 8 9 He checked the turn with a 3 straight and an overcard to his 2 pair.Unless he likes giving free cards to someone who checked the flop....
  5. Think of the table image it would build if you say something like "Show me KT of spades" ... and he does...You only have to be right 40% of the time...Do a quick structured hand analysis of it....I showed your reply to my dog and sniffed your answer twice and asked if you want to make a side bet on the answer...His money is on calling at 40/60 odds.
  6. Hi Daniel,I asked my dog what to do and he said, "First sit down and go over what you know about this hand ....Step 1: Calculate the M and pot odds.I assume the $10,000 buy in tournament has a structure like the WSOP main event... (From the website)1 $25/$502 $50/$1003 $100/$2004 $25 $100/$2005 $25 $150/$300 6 $50 $200/$400Was this the structure Daniel intended? My post assumes something like this....1 M is the cost to play one round is $150+$300+($25 times 10)= $700Your opponents starting stack is $800 + $25 + $1000 + $5400 = $7225His starting stack is $7225. So his M is 7225/700
  7. I don't know if losing 800 big blinds in 2 weeks is varriance or bad play.Only you can determine your varriance.Either keep detailed records so you can work out your win rate and standard deviation.Or,Buy pokertracker and let it do it for you.Then you can determine if you're just sufferning an expected swing or are probably need to fix a leak. Also you will be able to interpet the stats to perhaps get a hint about your leak(s).For instance I have a win rate of 4 poker traker big blinds per 100 hands.My standard deviation is 17 big blinds per 100 hands....If you decide not to purchase pokertrak
  8. Hi Daniel and friends,I met you at the Red Hot Poker Tour in the Tournement of Champions.I'm the guy that blew the chip lead at the final table.I think having an A and having scoop potential is the way to go so I think the the A4J9 is the way ahead in heads up play.I don't have the experience of Daniel Negreanu.So....When examining this sort of question I prefer to use quantitive methods rather than (what for me would be) hand waving arguments.I can't calculate the showdown value in my head.So I cheat and out come the simulations.*Warning if you want to try to consider things in your head for
  9. Nevada Jacks are fabulous chips.Before you buy a bunch of Nevada Jacks I'd get some for the free ones first.There is the poker source online promo poker source onlinewhere they give away a set of 300 Nevada Jacks.It comes with:100 X $1100 X $550 X $2550 X $100The shipping was free in the US or Canada.LinkYou have to kinda pick out the Nevada Jacks. Make sure you don't click on the cheap chipset.Click on the Nevada Jacks picture where it says Free Poker GiftsI wouldn't buy .50 chips just use .25 and $1 chips.If you bought 100 to 200 x .25 chips you'd be done. (this is what I did)You have to sig
  10. Hi Daniel!It was a great pleasure to meet you in Toronto at the Red Hot Poker Tournement of Champions.I'm the (idiot) guy that blew the massive chip lead at the final table of the Red Hot Poker Tour for the Protege seat..You asked me what I think about at the table when I pause for long periods.Well this is my thought process.I came to a different conclusion than you.I'd appreciate if you can tell me where I went wrong in my thinking.I agree with the points you made but I think you are much less likely to be beaten if it flops 778I'm thinking the most likely ranges of the hands that your oppon
×
×
  • Create New...