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FCP Bob

Member Since 09 Jul 2006
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Posts I've Made

In Topic: The Trump Presidency Thread

Yesterday, 04:59 PM

View PostFCP Bob, on 22 November 2017 - 12:20 PM, said:

The U of Chicago polls a cross section of the leading American economists on a regular basis on many different topics. Those economists cover the political spectrum from Democrats to Republicans. They are a who's who of the leading American economists. If you actually knew anything about the Economics field you would recognize most of the names.

Some conservative Republican economists I follow on Twitter were mocking the lone outlier from the survey. If you aren't a hack there is no debate.



About the IGM Economic Experts Panel
This panel explores the extent to which economists agree or disagree on major public policy issues. To assess such beliefs we assembled this panel of expert economists. Statistics teaches that a sample of (say) 40 opinions will be adequate to reflect a broader population if the sample is representative of that population.

To that end, our panel was chosen to include distinguished experts with a keen interest in public policy from the major areas of economics, to be geographically diverse, and to include Democrats, Republicans and Independents as well as older and younger scholars. The panel members are all senior faculty at the most elite research universities in the United States. The panel includes Nobel Laureates, John Bates Clark Medalists, fellows of the Econometric society, past Presidents of both the American Economics Association and American Finance Association, past Democratic and Republican members of the President's Council of Economics, and past and current editors of the leading journals in the profession. This selection process has the advantage of not only providing a set of panelists whose names will be familiar to other economists and the media, but also delivers a group with impeccable qualifications to speak on public policy matters.

Finally, it is important to explain one aspect of our voting process. In some instances a panelist may neither agree nor disagree with a statement, and there can be two very different reasons for this. One case occurs when an economist is an expert on a topic and yet sees the evidence on the exact claim at hand as ambiguous. In such cases our panelists vote "uncertain". A second case relates to statements on topics so far removed from the economist's expertise that he or she feels unqualified to vote. In this case, our panelists vote "no opinion".

The Economic Experts Panel questions are emailed individually to the members of the panel, and each responds electronically at his or her convenience. Panelists may consult whatever resources they like before answering.

Members of the public are free to suggest questions (see link below), and the panelists suggest many themselves. Members of the IGM faculty are responsible for deciding the final version of each week’s question. We usually send a draft of the question to the panel in advance, and invite them to point out problems with the wording if they see any. In response, we typically receive a handful of suggested clarifications from individual experts. This process helps us to spot inconsistencies, and to reduce vagueness or problems of interpretation.

The panel data are copyrighted by the Initiative on Global Markets and are being analyzed for an article to appear in a leading peer-reviewed journal.

In Topic: The Trump Presidency Thread

Yesterday, 12:20 PM

View Postbrvheart, on 22 November 2017 - 10:31 AM, said:

Nothing in either of these Tweets would be able to convince an average toddler about anything. There are literally hundreds of thousands of economists in the world and they talked to 42? Did any of those economists ever explain sample size to the young liberals creating this narrative?

Who paid for this polling of 42, of the ever-cliche, "leading" economists? Oh. The University of Chicago? They probably don't have an agenda.





The U of Chicago polls a cross section of the leading American economists on a regular basis on many different topics. Those economists cover the political spectrum from Democrats to Republicans. They are a who's who of the leading American economists. If you actually knew anything about the Economics field you would recognize most of the names.

Some conservative Republican economists I follow on Twitter were mocking the lone outlier from the survey. If you aren't a hack there is no debate.

In Topic: Who Died Today?

Yesterday, 03:35 AM

View PostBigDMcGee, on 21 November 2017 - 11:00 PM, said:

David Cassidy before Danny Bonaduce? Talk about a long shot

well he is the older brother

In Topic: A H L Discussion

21 November 2017 - 05:33 PM

View PostDanielNegreanu, on 21 November 2017 - 04:52 PM, said:

Champions League continues Wed Nov 22nd with a feature matchup fighting for top spot in Division A between:

The Big M's and Whalers

Featured matchup in Division B sees two teams jockeying for position atop the Division A playoff picture:

PK Dealers vs Shoot Loose

The Big M's
Forwards

Nikita Kucherov (TBL)
Johnny Gaudreau (CGY)
Mark Scheifele (WPJ)
Evander Kane (BUF)
Max Pacioretty (MTL)
Brandon Saad (CHI)
Defense
John Klingberg (DAL)
Roman Josi (NSH)
Tyson Barrie (COL)
Sami Vatanen (ANA)
Goalies
Goalies-A Carolina

Overtime Player
Nikita Kucherov (TBL)


Whalers
Forwards

Jamie Benn (DAL)
Sean Monahan (CGY)
Jakub Voracek (PHI)
Mikael Granlund (MIN)
Mika Zibanejad (NYR)
Evgenii Dadonov (FLO)
Defense
Erik Karlsson (OTT)
Shea Weber (MTL)
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI)
Drew Doughty (LAK)
Goalies
Goalies-B Los Angeles

Overtime Player
Jamie Benn (DAL)

In Topic: The Trump Presidency Thread

21 November 2017 - 04:00 PM

This article from Jonah Goldberg in the LA Times is pretty spot on.

Taking harassment seriously also requires making serious distinctions